Non-negligible impacts of urbanization on spatiotemporal variations of infectious disease: a case study of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome epidemics in China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wei, Qi1,2,4,5; Ren, Hongyan5; Lu, Liang3; Shi, Runhe1,2,4 |
| 刊名 | INFECTIOUS DISEASES OF POVERTY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-10-16 |
| 卷号 | 14期号:1页码:104 |
| 关键词 | Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome Meteorological factor Multidimensional urbanization Joinpoint regression Geodector analysis China |
| ISSN号 | 2095-5162 |
| DOI | 10.1186/s40249-025-01366-w |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Background Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) poses a significant public health concern in China. However, the spatiotemporal patterns and underlying drivers of its transmission are not fully understood. This study aims to investigate spatiotemporal heterogeneity of HFRS incidence at the city level and explore its potential influencing factors. Methods Joinpoint regression was utilized to analyze city-level HFRS incidence data (n = 314 cities, 2005-2021) collected from the National Infectious Disease Surveillance System. Furthermore, we employed the Geodetector method to identify the potential driving factors from a set of meteorological, vegetation, and urbanization variables. Results The results from Joinpoint regression analysis revealed an overall declining trend in city-level HFRS incidence across China from 2005 to 2021. Of the cities analyzed, 126 showed an upward trend [the average annual percent change,(AAPC) > 0], 176 a downward trend (AAPC < 0), and 12 remained stable (AAPC = 0). Notably, upward-trend cities were predominantly concentrated in South China. Geodetector analysis indicated that selected climatic and vegetation factors accounted for 19-56% of the spatiotemporal heterogeneity in HFRS incidence, whereas urbanization factors explained only 3-5%. However, synergistic interactions between temperature and urbanization-related variables (i.e., land-use, economic, and demographic dimensions) significantly enhanced their explanatory power, particularly in upward-trend cities, where the combinations increased explanatory capacity by 124-184%. Conclusion In summary, while climatic and vegetation factors remain the primary drivers of the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of HFRS epidemics in China, urbanization also exerts non-negligible influence on city-level incidence. This research offers valuable insights for public health authorities to strengthen their intervention capabilities against this disease. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | TRANSMISSION |
| WOS研究方向 | Infectious Diseases ; Parasitology ; Tropical Medicine |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001595189900001 |
| 出版者 | BMC |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/217507]  |
| 专题 | 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Ren, Hongyan; Shi, Runhe |
| 作者单位 | 1.East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Shanghai 200241, Peoples R China; 2.East China Normal Univ, Joint Lab Environm Remote Sensing & Data Assimilat, Shanghai 200241, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Key Lab Intelligent Tracking & Forecasting In, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China 4.East China Normal Univ, Key Lab Geog Informat Sci, Minist Educ, Shanghai 200241, Peoples R China; 5.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wei, Qi,Ren, Hongyan,Lu, Liang,et al. Non-negligible impacts of urbanization on spatiotemporal variations of infectious disease: a case study of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome epidemics in China[J]. INFECTIOUS DISEASES OF POVERTY,2025,14(1):104. |
| APA | Wei, Qi,Ren, Hongyan,Lu, Liang,&Shi, Runhe.(2025).Non-negligible impacts of urbanization on spatiotemporal variations of infectious disease: a case study of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome epidemics in China.INFECTIOUS DISEASES OF POVERTY,14(1),104. |
| MLA | Wei, Qi,et al."Non-negligible impacts of urbanization on spatiotemporal variations of infectious disease: a case study of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome epidemics in China".INFECTIOUS DISEASES OF POVERTY 14.1(2025):104. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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