Assessing Long-Term Impacts of Afforestation on Soil Conservation and Carbon Sequestration: A Spatially Explicit Analysis of China's Shelterbelt Program Zones
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Lanqing1; Zhang, Xinyuan1; Zhang, Zhipeng3; Zhang, Xiaoyuan2; Huang, Huihui1; Wang, Zong1,3 |
| 刊名 | REMOTE SENSING
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-10-16 |
| 卷号 | 17期号:20页码:3455 |
| 关键词 | afforestation planning random forest ecosystem service optimization Bayesian belief network spatiotemporal analysis |
| DOI | 10.3390/rs17203455 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Highlights What are the main findings? High-quality potential afforestation lands (approximate to 2.33 x 105 km2) are mainly concentrated along the Hu Line, with 45.94% located in the upper and middle reaches of the Yangtze River shelterbelt program. By 2070, under the revised annual afforestation target (0.47 x 105 km2/year), the Taihang Mountain shelterbelt program achieves the largest gains, with soil conservation increasing by 47.56% and carbon sequestration by 10.15%. What is the implication of the main finding? The pronounced regional differences indicate that future afforestation planning should adopt region-specific and optimized strategies rather than a uniform approach. The study aims to enhance ecosystem service functions in shelterbelt program zones through afforestation amendments and to promote sustainable land management.Highlights What are the main findings? High-quality potential afforestation lands (approximate to 2.33 x 105 km2) are mainly concentrated along the Hu Line, with 45.94% located in the upper and middle reaches of the Yangtze River shelterbelt program. By 2070, under the revised annual afforestation target (0.47 x 105 km2/year), the Taihang Mountain shelterbelt program achieves the largest gains, with soil conservation increasing by 47.56% and carbon sequestration by 10.15%. What is the implication of the main finding? The pronounced regional differences indicate that future afforestation planning should adopt region-specific and optimized strategies rather than a uniform approach. The study aims to enhance ecosystem service functions in shelterbelt program zones through afforestation amendments and to promote sustainable land management.Abstract Afforestation is a critical nature-based strategy for enhancing ecological resilience and supporting cleaner land-use systems. This study presents a spatially explicit modeling framework to evaluate the long-term impacts of potential afforestation amendments on two key ecosystem services-soil conservation and carbon sequestration-across China's major shelterbelt program areas under the SSP245 scenario (2020-2070). Using a zonal approach, we integrated Random Forest models, Bayesian belief networks, and Geodetector analysis to identify region-specific afforestation suitability and quantify ecological service gains across eight national shelterbelt program zones. The results reveal pronounced spatial heterogeneity in ecosystem service improvements. (1) High-quality potential afforestation lands, totaling approximately 2.33 x 105 km2, are primarily concentrated near the Hu Line (a geographical boundary that divides China into two distinct climatic regions), with the shelterbelt program for upper and middle reaches of Yangtze River accounting for 45.94%. (2) Based on the amended annual afforestation target of 0.47 x 105 km2, the adjusted land use projections indicate a significant increase in forest cover. By 2070, the afforestation program for Taihang Mountain exhibits the most significant improvements, with a 47.56% increase in soil conservation and a 10.15% increase in carbon sequestration. (3) Optimization areas differ across zones, with the Taihang mountain area (99.2%) and Pearl river area (70.1%) achieving the highest improvements in soil and carbon services, respectively. These findings provide robust scientific support for data-driven, region-specific afforestation planning under future land-use change scenarios. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RESILIENCE ; HISTORY ; LAND |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001603021400001 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/217780]  |
| 专题 | 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Zong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Beijing Forestry Univ, Coll Forestry, Precis Forestry Key Lab Beijing, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China; 2.Beijing Technol & Business Univ, Business Sch, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Lanqing,Zhang, Xinyuan,Zhang, Zhipeng,et al. Assessing Long-Term Impacts of Afforestation on Soil Conservation and Carbon Sequestration: A Spatially Explicit Analysis of China's Shelterbelt Program Zones[J]. REMOTE SENSING,2025,17(20):3455. |
| APA | Zhang, Lanqing,Zhang, Xinyuan,Zhang, Zhipeng,Zhang, Xiaoyuan,Huang, Huihui,&Wang, Zong.(2025).Assessing Long-Term Impacts of Afforestation on Soil Conservation and Carbon Sequestration: A Spatially Explicit Analysis of China's Shelterbelt Program Zones.REMOTE SENSING,17(20),3455. |
| MLA | Zhang, Lanqing,et al."Assessing Long-Term Impacts of Afforestation on Soil Conservation and Carbon Sequestration: A Spatially Explicit Analysis of China's Shelterbelt Program Zones".REMOTE SENSING 17.20(2025):3455. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。