中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Reconfiguring China's interprovincial rice distribution to support low-carbon goals under climate change

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Yang, Jintao1,2,3; Zhao, Fang-He3; Li, Manchun4; Jiang, Penghui5; Hu, Zhepeng2
刊名RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
出版日期2026-03-15
卷号228页码:108816
关键词Interprovincial rice trade Sustainable food distribution Climate change Carbon emission
ISSN号0921-3449
DOI10.1016/j.resconrec.2026.108816
产权排序3
文献子类Article
英文摘要Current understanding of low-carbon food distribution is limited by the lack of observed grain flow data and forward-looking scenario analysis. In this study, we construct China's interprovincial rice distribution network for 2020 using 30,524 observed trade records. We then project provincial rice supply and demand dynamics for 2030 under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, employing the Global Agro-Ecological Zones (GAEZ) and Future Land Use Simulation (FLUS) models. Subsequently, a scenario-based linear programming framework is applied to explore optimized low-carbon trade configurations. Results indicate that, compared to simulations focused solely on minimizing transport costs, observed trade flows capture substantial long-distance interprovincial exchanges that cost-based models tend to overlook. Moreover, optimized flows could reduce total carbon emissions from rice distribution by 16.1%-20.5% in 2030. These findings offer robust empirical and modeling evidence to inform the reconfiguration of grain distribution systems and support region-specific adaptation strategies under future climate change.
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WOS关键词LAND ; TRADE
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001681449400001
出版者ELSEVIER
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/220964]  
专题资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Hu, Zhepeng
作者单位1.China Agr Univ, Acad Global Food Econ & Policy, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China;
2.China Agr Univ, Coll Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Geog Informat Sci & Technol, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
4.Nanjing Univ, Sch Geog & Ocean Sci, Nanjing 210023, Peoples R China;
5.Nanjing Agr Univ, Sch Publ Management, Nanjing 210095, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yang, Jintao,Zhao, Fang-He,Li, Manchun,et al. Reconfiguring China's interprovincial rice distribution to support low-carbon goals under climate change[J]. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,2026,228:108816.
APA Yang, Jintao,Zhao, Fang-He,Li, Manchun,Jiang, Penghui,&Hu, Zhepeng.(2026).Reconfiguring China's interprovincial rice distribution to support low-carbon goals under climate change.RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,228,108816.
MLA Yang, Jintao,et al."Reconfiguring China's interprovincial rice distribution to support low-carbon goals under climate change".RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING 228(2026):108816.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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