中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Assess the impacts of climatic change and human activities on streamflow and floods by using a hybrid-physics-data (HPD) model: A case study in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Liu, Binxiao1,2,8; Yun, Xiaobo7; Pan, Baoxiang6; Xu, Ximeng2; Gaffney, Paul P. J.2; Lu, Hui5; Luo, Lifeng4; Sun, Gaohu3; Tang, Qiuhong1,2
刊名JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
出版日期2025-10-01
卷号61页码:102763
关键词Climatic change Human activities Streamflow changes Flood changes Hybrid-physics-data (HPD) model
DOI10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102763
产权排序1
文献子类Article
英文摘要Study region: Lancang-Mekong River Basin (LMRB) Study focus: Physics-based hydrological models are commonly employed to disentangle the effects of climatic and human factors on streamflow changes. To improve streamflow simulation performance, this study, tests the ability of a hybrid-physics-data (HPD) model that combines VICCaMa-Flood with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), to assess the relative contributions to the streamflow and floods in the LMRB during 1966-2015. New hydrological insights for the region: Streamflow and floods are mainly affected by climatic change during the transition period (1993-2007). The relative contribution of human activities ranges from 42 % to 91 % in the dry season and from 38 % to 82 % in the wet season in the postimpact period (2008-2015), outweighing the influence of climatic change. Additionally, human activities lead to a decrease in streamflow by -6 % to -24 % in the wet season, whereas causing an increase of 7-39 % in the dry season. While climatic change may increase flood magnitude by up to 21 % and increase flood frequency by up to 1.88 events per year, the observed flood characteristics are significantly lower than the HPD simulated changes, suggesting that flooding has been notably mitigated during the post-impact period due to human activities. The decrease in flooding in the downstream is mainly due to human activities, and in the upstream, is due to climatic change in addition to human activities.
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WOS关键词LAND-USE CHANGE ; WATER ; NETWORK ; VARIABILITY ; ATTRIBUTION ; REGIMES
WOS研究方向Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001568485500001
出版者ELSEVIER
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/216176]  
专题陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Tang, Qiuhong
作者单位1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
3.Minist Water Resources, Int Econ & Tech Cooperat & Exchange Ctr, Beijing 100053, Peoples R China
4.Michigan State Univ, Dept Geog Environm & Spatial Sci, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA;
5.Tsinghua Univ, Inst Global Change Studies, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China;
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China;
7.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Meteorol Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China;
8.Beijing Inst Satellite Informat Engn, State Key Lab Space Informat Syst & Integrated App, Beijing 100086, Peoples R China;
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Binxiao,Yun, Xiaobo,Pan, Baoxiang,et al. Assess the impacts of climatic change and human activities on streamflow and floods by using a hybrid-physics-data (HPD) model: A case study in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,2025,61:102763.
APA Liu, Binxiao.,Yun, Xiaobo.,Pan, Baoxiang.,Xu, Ximeng.,Gaffney, Paul P. J..,...&Tang, Qiuhong.(2025).Assess the impacts of climatic change and human activities on streamflow and floods by using a hybrid-physics-data (HPD) model: A case study in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,61,102763.
MLA Liu, Binxiao,et al."Assess the impacts of climatic change and human activities on streamflow and floods by using a hybrid-physics-data (HPD) model: A case study in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES 61(2025):102763.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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