Past and future change in global river flows
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Gudmundsson, Lukas9; Brunner, Manuela I.9,10,11; Doll, Petra12,13; Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne9,17; Frolova, Natalia18; Gosling, Simon N.3; Hirabayashi, Yukiko2; Kireeva, Maria B.8; Liu, Xiaomang1; Muller Schmied, Hannes12,13 |
| 刊名 | NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 4600 |
| 卷号 | N/A |
| DOI | 10.1038/s43017-025-00745-z |
| 产权排序 | 11 |
| 文献子类 | Review ; Early Access |
| 英文摘要 | Rivers are a vital component of the global water cycle. However, human influence on climate and terrestrial systems is increasingly shaping river flow regimes. In this Review, we summarize the current understanding of past and projected changes in global river flow, focusing on annual volumes, seasonal dynamics and sudden changes. River flow observations reveal distinct regional trends, including increased flows in high-latitude regions and decreased flows in parts of the mid-latitudes and subtropics. Snow-dominated regions in particular show shifts in their seasonal cycle towards earlier flows. These patterns align broadly with historical climate model simulations, suggesting an anthropogenic climate change signal. However, attribution is complicated by the interplay of greenhouse gas emissions, CO2-driven vegetation response, land-use change and water management. Future projections indicate continued change, with certain regions experiencing wetter conditions and others intensified drying. Seasonal changes, particularly those due to altered snow dynamics, are also expected to intensify. Despite modelling and observational advances, uncertainties remain regarding the combined effects of anthropogenic climate change and direct human interventions in terrestrial systems. Closing these gaps requires improved monitoring, advances in modelling and robust attribution frameworks, in support of efficiently managing water resources, sustaining ecosystems and adapting to a changing climate. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | LAND-COVER CHANGE ; INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT SCENARIOMIP ; ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GLACIER MASS-LOSS ; WATER AVAILABILITY ; CHANGE-POINT ; TERRESTRIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; HYDROLOGIC REGIME ; OBSERVED TRENDS ; SURFACE-WATER |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001638786200001 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGERNATURE |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/219415]  |
| 专题 | 陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Gudmundsson, Lukas |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Shibaura Inst Technol, Dept Civil Engn, Tokyo, Japan; 3.Univ Nottingham, Sch Geog, Nottingham, England; 4.Univ Montpellier, Espace Dev, IRD, Montpellier, France; 5.RPTU Univ Kaiserslautern Landau, Inst Environm Sci, Landau, Germany; 6.Univ Potsdam, Inst Environm Sci & Geog, Potsdam, Germany; 7.Univ Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford, England; 8.BioSense Inst, Ctr Informat Technol, Novi Sad, Serbia; 9.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland; 10.WSL Inst Snow & Avalanche Res SLF, Davos, Switzerland; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gudmundsson, Lukas,Brunner, Manuela I.,Doll, Petra,et al. Past and future change in global river flows[J]. NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT,4600,N/A. |
| APA | Gudmundsson, Lukas.,Brunner, Manuela I..,Doll, Petra.,Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne.,Frolova, Natalia.,...&Zhou, Xudong.(4600).Past and future change in global river flows.NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT,N/A. |
| MLA | Gudmundsson, Lukas,et al."Past and future change in global river flows".NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT N/A(4600). |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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