中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Optimized classification reveals typical summer precipitation anomaly patterns and associated circulation features over the Yangtze-Huai river Valley

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Liang, Liaofeng1,4; Xia, Jun2; Chen, Juying3; Wang, Zhonggen1
刊名THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
出版日期2025-12-11
卷号157期号:1页码:4
ISSN号0177-798X
DOI10.1007/s00704-025-05948-4
产权排序2
文献子类Article
英文摘要Precipitation anomaly patterns (PAPs) in the Yangtze-Huai River Valley (YHRV) critically affect water resources, agricultural output, and the safety of hundreds of millions of people. Yet, their robust classification and associated atmospheric circulation features remain inadequately understood. This study develops an improved classification scheme to identify and characterize PAPs over the YHRV from 1951 to 2020. Based on precipitation data from 50 meteorological stations and ERA5 reanalysis, we identify nine distinct PAP types with high statistical reliability, with average pattern correlations ranging from 0.41 to 0.85 and average sign probabilities from 0.62 to 0.9 across types. The approach successfully identifies nine statistically robust and physically distinct PAPs, significantly improving upon conventional classifications by enhancing composite correlation for 78.7% of the years analyzed. The analysis reveals a distinct temporal shift, wherein the frequency of major drought patterns declined markedly from 15 cases (1951-1985) to 5 cases (1986-2020). Composite analysis uncovers the distinct atmospheric mechanisms governing these patterns: the extreme region-wide wet pattern (RWP) is characterized by a strong North Asian blocking high at upper levels, which facilitates a low-level cyclonic circulation that funnels moisture into YHRV. Conversely, region-wide dry (RWD) patterns are associated with a deep continental trough and a low-level anticyclone that effectively blocks moisture influx. By providing a physically coherent framework that links specific precipitation outcomes to large-scale circulation, these findings offer a refined basis for improving seasonal forecasting and developing more targeted strategies for disaster prevention in this vital region.
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WOS关键词EAST CHINA ; RAINFALL ; CLIMATE ; MONSOON ; VARIABILITY ; MOISTURE ; IMPACTS ; TESTS ; FLOOD
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001637741600002
出版者SPRINGER WIEN
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/219447]  
专题陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Wang, Zhonggen
作者单位1.Minist Emergency Management China, Natl Inst Nat Hazards, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China;
2.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources Engn & Management, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, State Key Lab Severe Weather, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liang, Liaofeng,Xia, Jun,Chen, Juying,et al. Optimized classification reveals typical summer precipitation anomaly patterns and associated circulation features over the Yangtze-Huai river Valley[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2025,157(1):4.
APA Liang, Liaofeng,Xia, Jun,Chen, Juying,&Wang, Zhonggen.(2025).Optimized classification reveals typical summer precipitation anomaly patterns and associated circulation features over the Yangtze-Huai river Valley.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,157(1),4.
MLA Liang, Liaofeng,et al."Optimized classification reveals typical summer precipitation anomaly patterns and associated circulation features over the Yangtze-Huai river Valley".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 157.1(2025):4.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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