The Global Declining Effect of Population Aging on Water Use
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yan, Pengdong3,4; Lu, Hongwei3; Wang, Yuxuan4; Yan, Yiming2,3; Zhang, Zhucheng3,4; He, Mengxi4; Li, Hengchen2,3; Xia, Jun1,3; He, Li4 |
| 刊名 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
 |
| 出版日期 | 4602 |
| 卷号 | 62期号:1页码:e2024WR037685 |
| 关键词 | water withdrawal population aging causal inference heterogeneity mechanisms shared socioeconomic pathways |
| ISSN号 | 0043-1397 |
| DOI | 10.1029/2024WR037685 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Little has been known whether intensified global population aging has an independent effect on water use (which corresponds to the global water security). We here use panel analysis to quantitatively find out an obvious declining effect of global population aging (measured by proportion of aged population) on water use (measured by total water withdrawal (TWW)) based on the data of 168 countries in 1987-2018 and then analyze the potential mechanisms leading to the effect. We find that the estimated coefficient regarding the aging effect (beta) is about -0.0217, indicating that each percent of increase in proportion of aged population caused 2.17 percent decline in TWW. We further demonstrate the obvious aging effect at the country scale using the gridded data from 2000 to 2010. We eventually project that the global aging effect will lead to about 15%-31% of declines in water use under scenarios SSP1 to SSP5 by 2050. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; INCREASE ; ENERGY ; AGE |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001650044400001 |
| 出版者 | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/219508]  |
| 专题 | 陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Lu, Hongwei |
| 作者单位 | 1.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn Sc, Wuhan, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China; 4.Tianjin Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul Engn Intelligent Construct &, Tianjin, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yan, Pengdong,Lu, Hongwei,Wang, Yuxuan,et al. The Global Declining Effect of Population Aging on Water Use[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,4602,62(1):e2024WR037685. |
| APA | Yan, Pengdong.,Lu, Hongwei.,Wang, Yuxuan.,Yan, Yiming.,Zhang, Zhucheng.,...&He, Li.(4602).The Global Declining Effect of Population Aging on Water Use.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,62(1),e2024WR037685. |
| MLA | Yan, Pengdong,et al."The Global Declining Effect of Population Aging on Water Use".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 62.1(4602):e2024WR037685. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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