Climate Change Risk to Giant Panda Populations: Insights From Changes in Both Habitat Area and Bioclimatic Velocity
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Ning, Lehua1,4; Yu, Shulin1,4; Wang, Pan1,4; Li, Renqiang1,4; Zhu, Di2,3; Zhang, Jingyong2,3 |
| 刊名 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-08-18 |
| 卷号 | 31期号:8页码:e70442 |
| 关键词 | adaptation strategies bioclimatic velocity climate change extinction risks giant panda habitat area change |
| ISSN号 | 1354-1013 |
| DOI | 10.1111/gcb.70442 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Climate change affects biodiversity through multidimensional impacts, influencing not only shifts in habitat range but also changes in habitat quality. In this context, habitat area and bioclimatic velocity have become critical metrics for assessing species-specific vulnerabilities to climate change. Here, we assessed the extinction risk and exposure risk of giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) based on habitat area and bioclimatic velocity, respectively, and examined the differences between these two risks to inform climate-adaptive conservation strategies. Our findings indicate that under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, degraded giant panda habitats are projected to total 13846.1 km2, with the Qinling (QL), Liangshan (LS), and Daxiangling (DXL) populations experiencing substantial habitat loss of 3790.4, 2722.8, and 1135.4 km2, respectively. Bioclimatic velocities across different populations range from -0.468 to 0.309 km year-1, with higher velocities observed in southeastern Minshan (MS) and Qionglaishan (QLS) and Liangshan (LS) regions, suggesting potential declines in habitat suitability and substantial challenges to population survival. Our results also reveal that while most populations exhibit consistent risk patterns when assessed by both habitat area and bioclimatic velocity, notable discrepancies remain. Populations with high extinction risk generally face high exposure risk; however, some populations with low extinction risk may encounter substantial exposure risk (e.g., DXL_A and MS_K). These findings highlight the limitations of relying on single-dimensional assessments of species' vulnerability to climate change, as evidenced by the variability in risk assessment outcomes. Therefore, integrating changes in both habitat area and bioclimatic velocity provides a more comprehensive understanding of species' vulnerability, reveals local adaptation mechanisms, and offers a robust scientific basis for formulating targeted climate-resilient conservation strategies. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | QINLING MOUNTAINS ; EXTINCTION RISK ; CONSERVATION ; CHALLENGES ; MODELS ; IMPACT |
| WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001551511600001 |
| 出版者 | WILEY |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/215621]  |
| 专题 | 生态系统网络观测与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Renqiang |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Earth Syst Numer Modeling & Applicat, Beijing, Peoples R China; 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modelling, Beijing, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ning, Lehua,Yu, Shulin,Wang, Pan,et al. Climate Change Risk to Giant Panda Populations: Insights From Changes in Both Habitat Area and Bioclimatic Velocity[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2025,31(8):e70442. |
| APA | Ning, Lehua,Yu, Shulin,Wang, Pan,Li, Renqiang,Zhu, Di,&Zhang, Jingyong.(2025).Climate Change Risk to Giant Panda Populations: Insights From Changes in Both Habitat Area and Bioclimatic Velocity.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,31(8),e70442. |
| MLA | Ning, Lehua,et al."Climate Change Risk to Giant Panda Populations: Insights From Changes in Both Habitat Area and Bioclimatic Velocity".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 31.8(2025):e70442. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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