Global vegetation production may decrease in this century due to rising atmospheric dryness
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Lin, Shangrong7; Chen, Xiuzhi8; Xia, Jiangzhou1; Xin, Qinchuan2; Fu, Zheng3; He, Bin4; Liu, Qinhuo5; Piao, Shilong6; Yuan, Wenping6 |
| 刊名 | NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-10-23 |
| 卷号 | N/A |
| ISSN号 | 2397-334X |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41559-025-02885-3 |
| 产权排序 | 5 |
| 文献子类 | Article ; Early Access |
| 英文摘要 | Previous projections from Earth system models have suggested that rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations would stimulate global vegetation production through the CO2 fertilization effect. Here we show that increased atmospheric dryness driven by climate warming will substantially counteract this effect. Using measurements from global eddy-covariance sites and a process-based model, we project that global vegetation gross primary production (GPP) will peak around the middle of the twenty-first century and subsequently decline. The peak of global GPP is projected to increase by only 5.4 +/- 0.5% compared with the present. The stalled increase in GPP is more prominent in tropical regions. Additionally, the increased atmospheric dryness resulting from two non-CO2 greenhouse gases (CH4 and N2O) plays an important role in GPP changes. These gases induce climate warming and atmospheric dryness but, unlike CO2, lack a fertilization effect. This study underscores that climate warming-induced atmospheric dryness markedly reduces terrestrial vegetation production, potentially limiting the terrestrial carbon sink in the future. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | DROUGHT ; SATELLITE ; CARBON ; EARTH |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001598708100001 |
| 出版者 | NATURE PORTFOLIO |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/217421]  |
| 专题 | 生态系统网络观测与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Yuan, Wenping |
| 作者单位 | 1.Tianjin Normal Univ, Tianjin Key Lab Water Resources & Environm, Tianjin, Peoples R China; 2.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Beijing, Peoples R China; 4.Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Global Change & Earth Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 5.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China; 6.Peking Univ, Inst Carbon Neutral, Sino French Inst Earth Syst Sci, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 7.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Guangdong Prov Data Ctr Terr & Marine Ecosyst Carb, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou, Peoples R China; 8.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Guangdong Prov Terr & Marine Ecosyst Carbon Cycle, Sch Atmospher Sci, Zhuhai, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lin, Shangrong,Chen, Xiuzhi,Xia, Jiangzhou,et al. Global vegetation production may decrease in this century due to rising atmospheric dryness[J]. NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION,2025,N/A. |
| APA | Lin, Shangrong.,Chen, Xiuzhi.,Xia, Jiangzhou.,Xin, Qinchuan.,Fu, Zheng.,...&Yuan, Wenping.(2025).Global vegetation production may decrease in this century due to rising atmospheric dryness.NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION,N/A. |
| MLA | Lin, Shangrong,et al."Global vegetation production may decrease in this century due to rising atmospheric dryness".NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION N/A(2025). |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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