中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Climate change impacts on hydrological regimes under spatially variable human-activity conditions

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Liu, Jianwei2; Pang, Xiaoteng2; Jing, Haihua2; Wang, Mingwei1; Shen, Longhai2; Yan, Xiaohui2; Zhang, Qin5; Destouni, Georgia3,4
刊名FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
出版日期2025-10-08
卷号13页码:1656661
关键词climate change impacts on hydrology hydrological regime alteration human-activity gradient spatial heterogeneity hydrological modeling CMIP6 projections
DOI10.3389/feart.2025.1656661
产权排序3
文献子类Article
英文摘要The climate change impacts on hydrological conditions may be strongly modulated by the spatial variability of the intensity of human activities within watersheds. Despite growing recognition of climate and anthropogenic influences on hydrological regimes, comprehensive and spatially explicit assessments remain limited, hindering the development of robust watershed management and climate adaptation strategies. In this study, we propose an integrated framework for such analysis and deciphering by combining principal component analysis, hydrological modeling, and a range of variability approach to diagnose and attribute hydrological regime changes. The framework is tested on the case of the Taoer River Basin as a representative watershed system with pronounced human-activity variation along the upstream to downstream direction. Our results show that human activities contribute only 18% to hydrological regime changes in the upstream regions, where anthropogenic influence is relatively low, compared to 49% in the downstream areas with substantially greater human interference. While the upstream areas exhibit more pronounced changes in daily maximum streamflow (78%-79%) and count of low pulses (79%), the downstream areas experience more substantial alterations in monthly average streamflow (84%-99%) and high pulse durations (85%). Overarching the human-activity variability, the climate change impacts increase the risk of flooding, while the human activities exert greater influence in amplifying drought risk. Simulations based on CMIP6 climate projections further indicate a significant increase in the likelihood of upstream flooding. Overall, our findings highlight the necessity of spatially differentiated management and adaptation strategies, tailored to steep human-activity gradients across watershed zones, to effectively address hydrological changes under climate stress.
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WOS关键词ALTERED FLOW REGIMES ; RIVER-BASINS ; PRECIPITATION ; WATER ; TEMPERATURE ; MODELS ; INDICATORS ; ENSEMBLE ; RUNOFF ; GREEN
WOS研究方向Geology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001597315900001
出版者FRONTIERS MEDIA SA
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/217431]  
专题生态系统网络观测与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Liu, Jianwei; Destouni, Georgia
作者单位1.Liaoning Prov Water Affairs Serv Ctr, Liaoning Prov Dept Water Resources, Shenyang, Peoples R China;
2.Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Hydraul Engn, Dalian, Peoples R China;
3.KTH Royal Inst Technol, Dept Sustainable Dev Environm Sci & Engn, Stockholm, Sweden
4.Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden;
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Beijing, Peoples R China;
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Jianwei,Pang, Xiaoteng,Jing, Haihua,et al. Climate change impacts on hydrological regimes under spatially variable human-activity conditions[J]. FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE,2025,13:1656661.
APA Liu, Jianwei.,Pang, Xiaoteng.,Jing, Haihua.,Wang, Mingwei.,Shen, Longhai.,...&Destouni, Georgia.(2025).Climate change impacts on hydrological regimes under spatially variable human-activity conditions.FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE,13,1656661.
MLA Liu, Jianwei,et al."Climate change impacts on hydrological regimes under spatially variable human-activity conditions".FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE 13(2025):1656661.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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