World Cultural Heritage sites are under climate stress and no emissions mitigation pathways can uniformly protect them
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Chen, Zihua1; Gao, Qian2; Wu, Yajing3; Li, Jiaxin4; Li, Xiaowei5; Li, Xiao6; Wang, Zhenbo4; Cui, Haiyang1 |
| 刊名 | COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-08-05 |
| 卷号 | 6期号:1页码:628 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s43247-025-02603-8 |
| 产权排序 | 4 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Climate change increasingly threatens cultural heritage, yet global studies remain limited. Here we use an analytical hazard-vulnerability-exposure framework, combining global climate reanalysis and multi-model projections with site-level material inventories, to track climate stress on United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization World Heritage sites in the past (1961-1990), present (2010-2040) and future (2070-2100). We find that 80% of sites already experience harmful heat and moisture disturbance, and nearly 19% are threatened on more than one key material such as stone and wood. A low-emission future (SSP1-2.6) could spare about 40% of at-risk sites, whereas a medium-emission (SSP2-4.5) future offers far less relief. Regional and material disparities persist, highlighting that no single mitigation pathway can uniformly protect all sites. The results guide resource prioritization and locally tailored protection strategies. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | CMIP5 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001546344400003 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGERNATURE |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/215534]  |
| 专题 | 区域可持续发展分析与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Cui, Haiyang |
| 作者单位 | 1.Guizhou Minzu Univ, Ctr Chinese Nation Res, Guiyang, Peoples R China; 2.Guizhou Univ, Sch Econ, Guiyang, Peoples R China; 3.China Univ Geosci Wuhan, Natl Engn Res Ctr Geog Informat Syst, Wuhan, Peoples R China; 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China; 5.Capital Univ Econ & Business, Sch Urban Econ & Publ Affairs, Beijing, Peoples R China; 6.Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Fac Geomat, Lanzhou, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen, Zihua,Gao, Qian,Wu, Yajing,et al. World Cultural Heritage sites are under climate stress and no emissions mitigation pathways can uniformly protect them[J]. COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT,2025,6(1):628. |
| APA | Chen, Zihua.,Gao, Qian.,Wu, Yajing.,Li, Jiaxin.,Li, Xiaowei.,...&Cui, Haiyang.(2025).World Cultural Heritage sites are under climate stress and no emissions mitigation pathways can uniformly protect them.COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT,6(1),628. |
| MLA | Chen, Zihua,et al."World Cultural Heritage sites are under climate stress and no emissions mitigation pathways can uniformly protect them".COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT 6.1(2025):628. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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