China's green leadership in international aviation: Spatial patterns, influence factors and future trends of carbon emission under the Belt and Road Initiative
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Feng, Rundong1,2,3; Huang, Yufei2; Wang, Fuyuan1; Wang, Kaiyong1; Liu, Shenghe1; Ho, Heather2; Wei, Hubin1; Liu, Weidong1 |
| 刊名 | ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW
 |
| 出版日期 | 2026-03-01 |
| 卷号 | 117页码:108206 |
| 关键词 | Belt and road initiative Aviation carbon emission Interaction effects Future projection China |
| ISSN号 | 0195-9255 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108206 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Globalization and international cooperation have significantly increased aviation demand and its associated carbon emissions, particularly within the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which involves over 150 countries. However, limited attention has been given to assessing the impacts and future projections of the BRI on aviation emissions. This study integrated multisource big data, Geodetector, and cross-classified multilevel modeling to quantify the interaction effects of the BRI and natural-anthropogenic factors on China's international aviation carbon emissions in 2019, and to predicted patterns and trends for 2030. Results showed that total aviation carbon emissions reached 16.36 Mt. in 2019, with emissions mainly concentrated in Southeast Asia, East Asia, and Western Europe. Furthermore, BRI-related trade volume and infrastructure investment, interaction with GDP, population, and airport construction explained 87 % of aviation carbon emissions. Projections indicated that total emissions will increase by 35.8 % from 2019 to 2030 under the BRI, while emissions per unit of GDP and per capita emissions are expected to decline by 68.1 % and 56.6 %, respectively, with Gini indices decreasing by 21 % and 36 %. BRI countries should establish more active green and low-carbon aviation co-operations and optimize flight routes to promote low-carbon development for the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001590525400001 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/217571]  |
| 专题 | 区域可持续发展分析与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Feng, Rundong; Huang, Yufei |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Hong Kong, Fac Architecture, Dept Architecture, Div Landscape Architecture,Future Urbanity & Sust, Hong Kong 999077, Peoples R China; 3.MIT, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Feng, Rundong,Huang, Yufei,Wang, Fuyuan,et al. China's green leadership in international aviation: Spatial patterns, influence factors and future trends of carbon emission under the Belt and Road Initiative[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW,2026,117:108206. |
| APA | Feng, Rundong.,Huang, Yufei.,Wang, Fuyuan.,Wang, Kaiyong.,Liu, Shenghe.,...&Liu, Weidong.(2026).China's green leadership in international aviation: Spatial patterns, influence factors and future trends of carbon emission under the Belt and Road Initiative.ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW,117,108206. |
| MLA | Feng, Rundong,et al."China's green leadership in international aviation: Spatial patterns, influence factors and future trends of carbon emission under the Belt and Road Initiative".ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW 117(2026):108206. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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