中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Is convection-permitting model really better than cumulus parameterization for simulating summer precipitation in the Hengduan Mountains? - A case study of summer 2009

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Liu, Xudong4,5; Chen, Ying3; Cen, Sixian1,2; Lu, Yaqiong5; Bing, Jiawei4,5; Ming, Guijia4,5
刊名JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
出版日期2025-12-01
卷号22期号:12页码:4392-4407
关键词Convection-permitting model Cumulus parameterization Numerical simulation WRF
ISSN号1672-6316
DOI10.1007/s11629-025-9778-x
英文摘要

The Hengduan Mountains are susceptible to hydrological disasters, with precipitation representing a significant risk factor. For effective disaster mitigation strategies, accurate rainfall simulation is essential, typically achieved through the use of numerical models. Some research has indicated that using a convection-permitting model (CPM) at high resolution (< 4 km) could provide more precise rainfall estimates than traditional cumulus parameterization schemes (CPs) at lower resolutions, but CPM demands substantial computational resources. Therefore, to assess whether CPM maintains superior simulation accuracy, this study employed the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to simulate summer precipitation over the Hengduan Mountains in 2009, comparing CPM (4 km) and CPs (10 km) resolutions. The simulations were evaluated against satellite observations to quantify their performance differences. The results showed that all simulations overestimated amounts and frequency. The CPM outperformed most CPs, except the Tiedtke scheme, which exhibited Root Mean Square Errors (RMSEs) of 2.51 mmday-1 for amount and 5.63% for frequency. The CPM had slightly higher RMSEs of 2.80 mmday-1 and 6.98%, respectively. Both CPM and Tiedtke captured the spatial distribution of precipitation, but overestimations occurred in central and southern regions and underestimations in river valleys. While Tiedtke demonstrated superiority in various aspects, CPM provided more detail. Additionally, the study noted significant differences in diurnal variation at intermediate altitudes and found correlations between rainfall amounts and convective available potential energy (CAPE), frequency, and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), respectively. Consequently, the Tiedtke scheme is suggested as a more resource-efficient alternative to CPM for simulating precipitation in the Hengduan Mountains.

WOS关键词OUTGOING LONGWAVE RADIATION ; CLIMATE SIMULATIONS ; TEMPORAL TRENDS ; WRF MODEL ; EL-NINO ; RESOLUTION ; RAINFALL ; FORECASTS ; SCHEMES ; REPRESENTATION
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[42475101] ; Open Research Fund of Heavy Rain and Drought-Flood Disasters in Plateau and Basin Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province[SZKT202303] ; Science and Technology Research Program of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences[IMHE-ZDRW-06] ; National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project Earth System Numerical Simulation Facility
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001645391200007
出版者SCIENCE PRESS
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Open Research Fund of Heavy Rain and Drought-Flood Disasters in Plateau and Basin Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province ; Science and Technology Research Program of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project Earth System Numerical Simulation Facility
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/59430]  
专题中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所
通讯作者Lu, Yaqiong
作者单位1.China Meteorol Adm, Inst Plateau Meteorol, Chengdu 610072, Peoples R China
2.Heavy Rain & Drought Flood Disasters Plateau & Bas, Chengdu 610072, Peoples R China
3.Mianyang Meteorol Bur Sichuan Prov, Mianyang 621000, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610229, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Xudong,Chen, Ying,Cen, Sixian,et al. Is convection-permitting model really better than cumulus parameterization for simulating summer precipitation in the Hengduan Mountains? - A case study of summer 2009[J]. JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,2025,22(12):4392-4407.
APA Liu, Xudong,Chen, Ying,Cen, Sixian,Lu, Yaqiong,Bing, Jiawei,&Ming, Guijia.(2025).Is convection-permitting model really better than cumulus parameterization for simulating summer precipitation in the Hengduan Mountains? - A case study of summer 2009.JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,22(12),4392-4407.
MLA Liu, Xudong,et al."Is convection-permitting model really better than cumulus parameterization for simulating summer precipitation in the Hengduan Mountains? - A case study of summer 2009".JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE 22.12(2025):4392-4407.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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