中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
A Novel Hydrological Signature-Informed Framework for Enhancing Streamflow Prediction Using Multi-Task Learning

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Wang, Zili3,4; Li, Chaoyue2,3; Wei, Ruilong3,4; Zhang, Binlan3,4; Cui, Peng1,3,4
刊名WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
出版日期2026-01-16
卷号62期号:1页码:25
关键词streamflow prediction hydrological signature-informed multi-task learning large-sample hydrological modeling disaster early warning
ISSN号0043-1397
DOI10.1029/2025WR041485
英文摘要

Hydrological signatures (HS) have proven to be highly effective in calibrating physically-based hydrological models, enhancing their process consistency. However, their integration into parameter optimization for deep learning (DL)-based hydrological models has been limited. To address this gap, we propose a novel HS-informed framework that dynamically integrates HS into DL parameterization through a multi-task learning approach. This study evaluates the impact of HS integration on model performance using a large-scale, global hydrological data set. The HS-informed model achieved a significant performance improvement, with a median Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.739, compared to 0.666 for the baseline model across the test set. Notably, the most pronounced improvements in NSE were observed in hydrologically complex basins, including baseflow-dominated (+0.135), drought-prone (+0.148), and flood-prone basins (+0.159). Sensitivity analysis further revealed that the HS-informed model could leverage extended historical input data (over 120 days) to sustain robust performance (median NSE of 0.715) over a 30-day forecast period. Shapley Additive Explanations analysis highlighted two key mechanisms underlying these improvements: the enhanced recognition of long-term hydrological patterns through improved memory and a better representation of catchment heterogeneity by emphasizing non-climatic attributes. These findings demonstrate that integrating HS offers a superior approach to traditional point-error-based calibration in AI-driven hydrological modeling.

WOS关键词LARGE-SAMPLE HYDROLOGY ; MODEL ; REGIONALIZATION ; BEHAVIORS ; BASINS ; CAMELS ; INDEX
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[U21A2008] ; Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPhSF[GZC20241687] ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation[2024M763228] ; Sichuan Provincial Science and Technology Program[2023ZHJY0010]
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001662603500001
出版者AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPhSF ; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation ; Sichuan Provincial Science and Technology Program
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/59455]  
专题成都山地灾害与环境研究所_山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室
通讯作者Li, Chaoyue; Cui, Peng
作者单位1.CAS HEC, China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci, Islamabad, Pakistan
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Key Lab Mt Hazards & Engn Resilience, Chengdu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Zili,Li, Chaoyue,Wei, Ruilong,et al. A Novel Hydrological Signature-Informed Framework for Enhancing Streamflow Prediction Using Multi-Task Learning[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2026,62(1):25.
APA Wang, Zili,Li, Chaoyue,Wei, Ruilong,Zhang, Binlan,&Cui, Peng.(2026).A Novel Hydrological Signature-Informed Framework for Enhancing Streamflow Prediction Using Multi-Task Learning.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,62(1),25.
MLA Wang, Zili,et al."A Novel Hydrological Signature-Informed Framework for Enhancing Streamflow Prediction Using Multi-Task Learning".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 62.1(2026):25.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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