Identifying spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of landscape pattern in Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) using an interpretable machine learning technology
文献类型:期刊论文
| 作者 | Bai, Yi2,3,4; Li, Ainong1,2,3,4; Lei, Guangbin2,4; Bian, Jinhu2,4; Zhang, Zhengjian2,4; Nan, Xi2,4; Chen, Limin1,2,4; Lin, Xiaohan1,2,4; Deng, Yi1,2,4; Shao, Huaiyong3 |
| 刊名 | ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
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| 出版日期 | 2025-09-01 |
| 卷号 | 178页码:15 |
| 关键词 | Landscape pattern XGBoost-SHAP Habitat quality Conservation planning Remote sensing |
| ISSN号 | 1470-160X |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.114121 |
| 英文摘要 | Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) is one of China's landmark conservation initiatives within its national park system and serves as a critical stronghold for global biodiversity. The spatiotemporal changes in its landscape patterns profoundly influence giant panda habitat quality and ecosystem resilience. In this study, we developed a comprehensive framework to analyze landscape-pattern dynamics and their driving mechanisms in GPNP. The framework leverages multi-temporal (1990-2020) land use/cover remote-sensing data combined with landscape pattern metrics to quantify habitat type transitions and capture spatiotemporal pattern changes. The influence of environmental and anthropogenic drivers was quantified, and the complex interactions shaping landscape dynamics were revealed with an interpretable XGBoost-SHAP model. The results show that the most significant habitat transitions occurred during 2005-2010, accounting for 50.6 % of the total transition area, largely driven by ecological restoration and natural disturbances. Landscape connectivity steadily increased, reflecting the positive effects of ecological restoration policies targeting GPNP's environment. The XGBoost-SHAP framework achieved strong predictive performance (accuracy = 0.74, AUC = 0.89), enabling reliable interpretation of landscape transitions. Among sixteen drivers, precipitation, NDVI, temperature, GPP, terrain ruggedness (TRI), and distance to roads (Lrdl) were identified as the most influential in shaping long-term landscape patterns in GPNP. These findings suggest that effective monitoring of GPNP's landscape pattern dynamics can provide a scientific basis for the conservation and management of giant panda habitats. Moreover, the proposed framework offers a transferable approach for analyzing landscape changes and driving mechanisms in similar wildlife ecosystems. |
| WOS关键词 | WOLONG NATURE-RESERVE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AILUROPODA-MELANOLEUCA ; WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE ; QINLING MOUNTAINS ; HABITAT ; FRAGMENTATION ; CONSERVATION ; ECOSYSTEM ; SICHUAN |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[U23A2019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42090015] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2020YFA0608702] |
| WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001575572500002 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/59171] ![]() |
| 专题 | 成都山地灾害与环境研究所_数字山地与遥感应用中心 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Ainong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Wanglang Mt Remote Sensing Observat & Res Stn Sich, Mianyang 621000, Peoples R China 3.Chengdu Univ Technol, Coll Geog & Planning, Chengdu 610059, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610299, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bai, Yi,Li, Ainong,Lei, Guangbin,et al. Identifying spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of landscape pattern in Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) using an interpretable machine learning technology[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2025,178:15. |
| APA | Bai, Yi.,Li, Ainong.,Lei, Guangbin.,Bian, Jinhu.,Zhang, Zhengjian.,...&Shao, Huaiyong.(2025).Identifying spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of landscape pattern in Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) using an interpretable machine learning technology.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,178,15. |
| MLA | Bai, Yi,et al."Identifying spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of landscape pattern in Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) using an interpretable machine learning technology".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 178(2025):15. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所
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