中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Identifying spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of landscape pattern in Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) using an interpretable machine learning technology

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Bai, Yi2,3,4; Li, Ainong1,2,3,4; Lei, Guangbin2,4; Bian, Jinhu2,4; Zhang, Zhengjian2,4; Nan, Xi2,4; Chen, Limin1,2,4; Lin, Xiaohan1,2,4; Deng, Yi1,2,4; Shao, Huaiyong3
刊名ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
出版日期2025-09-01
卷号178页码:15
关键词Landscape pattern XGBoost-SHAP Habitat quality Conservation planning Remote sensing
ISSN号1470-160X
DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.114121
英文摘要

Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) is one of China's landmark conservation initiatives within its national park system and serves as a critical stronghold for global biodiversity. The spatiotemporal changes in its landscape patterns profoundly influence giant panda habitat quality and ecosystem resilience. In this study, we developed a comprehensive framework to analyze landscape-pattern dynamics and their driving mechanisms in GPNP. The framework leverages multi-temporal (1990-2020) land use/cover remote-sensing data combined with landscape pattern metrics to quantify habitat type transitions and capture spatiotemporal pattern changes. The influence of environmental and anthropogenic drivers was quantified, and the complex interactions shaping landscape dynamics were revealed with an interpretable XGBoost-SHAP model. The results show that the most significant habitat transitions occurred during 2005-2010, accounting for 50.6 % of the total transition area, largely driven by ecological restoration and natural disturbances. Landscape connectivity steadily increased, reflecting the positive effects of ecological restoration policies targeting GPNP's environment. The XGBoost-SHAP framework achieved strong predictive performance (accuracy = 0.74, AUC = 0.89), enabling reliable interpretation of landscape transitions. Among sixteen drivers, precipitation, NDVI, temperature, GPP, terrain ruggedness (TRI), and distance to roads (Lrdl) were identified as the most influential in shaping long-term landscape patterns in GPNP. These findings suggest that effective monitoring of GPNP's landscape pattern dynamics can provide a scientific basis for the conservation and management of giant panda habitats. Moreover, the proposed framework offers a transferable approach for analyzing landscape changes and driving mechanisms in similar wildlife ecosystems.

WOS关键词WOLONG NATURE-RESERVE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AILUROPODA-MELANOLEUCA ; WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE ; QINLING MOUNTAINS ; HABITAT ; FRAGMENTATION ; CONSERVATION ; ECOSYSTEM ; SICHUAN
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[U23A2019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42090015] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2020YFA0608702]
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001575572500002
出版者ELSEVIER
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/59171]  
专题成都山地灾害与环境研究所_数字山地与遥感应用中心
通讯作者Li, Ainong
作者单位1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
2.Wanglang Mt Remote Sensing Observat & Res Stn Sich, Mianyang 621000, Peoples R China
3.Chengdu Univ Technol, Coll Geog & Planning, Chengdu 610059, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610299, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Bai, Yi,Li, Ainong,Lei, Guangbin,et al. Identifying spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of landscape pattern in Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) using an interpretable machine learning technology[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2025,178:15.
APA Bai, Yi.,Li, Ainong.,Lei, Guangbin.,Bian, Jinhu.,Zhang, Zhengjian.,...&Shao, Huaiyong.(2025).Identifying spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of landscape pattern in Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) using an interpretable machine learning technology.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,178,15.
MLA Bai, Yi,et al."Identifying spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of landscape pattern in Giant Panda National Park (GPNP) using an interpretable machine learning technology".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 178(2025):15.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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