From thermal tolerance to distribution resilience: Physiology-informed species distribution models moderated range shifts for an intertidal crab species under climate change
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Cong, Jiayi2,4; Tao, Zhencheng2,3,4; Xu, Yong1,2,3,4; Li, Xinzheng2 |
| 刊名 | GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-10-01 |
| 卷号 | 62页码:17 |
| 关键词 | Intertidal ecosystem Climate change Thermal performance curve Species distribution modeling Physiological integration |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.gecco.2025.e03809 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, Yong(xuyong@qdio.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The intertidal zone, occupying the critical interface between marine and terrestrial ecosystems, exhibits heightened sensitivity to climatic variations with accelerated ecological dynamics under dual environmental forcing. Species Distribution Models (SDMs), which establish statistical correlations between species occurrence records and environmental parameters, have become predominant tools for projecting biogeographic patterns under climate change scenarios. However, traditional SDMs frequently receive criticism for disregarding species-specific physiological constraints in environmental response mechanisms. Incorporating empirical physiological thresholds is therefore imperative for enhancing model biological realism and predictive accuracy. To date, this integrative approach remains unexplored for the Asian shore crab Hemigrapsus sanguineus (Crustacea: Varunidae), a keystone intertidal crustacean widely distributed along China's rocky coastlines. In this study, we developed novel Functional SDMs (F-SDMs) through the integration of thermal performance curves derived from laboratory experiments with ensemble SDM frameworks. Comparative analyses were conducted on both model predictive capacity (AUC/TSS metrics) and projected habitat shifts under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios. Our results demonstrate that physiological integration improved the predictive performance of the models, and F-SDMs predicted habitat changes were more moderate than traditional SDMs. These findings underscore the critical role of experimental physiology in marine biogeographic modeling, providing valuable information for predicting the distribution changes of marine species. |
| WOS关键词 | SHORE CRAB ; HEMIGRAPSUS-SANGUINEUS ; PREY SELECTION ; POTENTIAL PREY ; RESPONSES ; TEMPERATURE ; PREDICTION ; IMPACTS ; METABOLISM ; PREDATION |
| 资助项目 | National Key R & D Program of China[2022YFF0802202] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31872194] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA11020303] ; Science & Technology Basic Resources Investigation Program of China[2017FY201404] ; Ocean Public Welfare Scientific Research Project ; State Oceanic Administration of the PRC[201505004] ; Scientific and Technological Inno-vation Project ; Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology[2015ASKJ01] |
| WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001565250800001 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/203284]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院海洋研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, Yong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Qingdao Marine Sci & Technol Ctr, Lab Marine Biol & Biotechnol, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao 266000, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Mega Sci, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cong, Jiayi,Tao, Zhencheng,Xu, Yong,et al. From thermal tolerance to distribution resilience: Physiology-informed species distribution models moderated range shifts for an intertidal crab species under climate change[J]. GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION,2025,62:17. |
| APA | Cong, Jiayi,Tao, Zhencheng,Xu, Yong,&Li, Xinzheng.(2025).From thermal tolerance to distribution resilience: Physiology-informed species distribution models moderated range shifts for an intertidal crab species under climate change.GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION,62,17. |
| MLA | Cong, Jiayi,et al."From thermal tolerance to distribution resilience: Physiology-informed species distribution models moderated range shifts for an intertidal crab species under climate change".GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION 62(2025):17. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：海洋研究所
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