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  4. 海洋环流与波动重点实验室
Comparative Analysis of Storm Surge Reconstructions in the Western North Pacific: Implications for Coastal Flood Risk Assessment

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Fan, Mengzhen4; Dang, Wen4; Feng, Jianlong3,4; Li, Delei1,2,3; Zhao, Liang4
刊名INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE
出版日期2025-06-01
卷号16期号:3页码:446-463
关键词Comparative analysis Reconstructions Return period Storm surges Western North Pacific (WNP)
ISSN号2095-0055
DOI10.1007/s13753-025-00647-0
通讯作者Feng, Jianlong(fjl181988@tust.edu.cn) ; Li, Delei(dlli@qnlm.ac)
英文摘要Storm surges in the Western North Pacific cause significant economic damage and loss of life, highlighting the need for accurate storm surge predictions. This study evaluated four storm surge models: the Global Tide and Surge Model (GTSMv3.0), ERA20C neural network (ERA20C_nn), ERA20C multiple linear regression (ERA20C_ml), and 20th Century Reanalysis multiple linear regression (20CR_ml), using data from 160 tidal stations. The results show that the ERA20C_nn model outperformed others, with the highest correlation to tide-gauge observations. The GTSMv3.0 model follows closely, although slightly less accurate. The ERA20C_ml and 20CR_ml models were less effective, especially in predicting extreme surges. The ERA20C_nn model also provided more reliable estimates for 100-year return surge levels, outperforming other models. These findings suggest that neural network-based models, particularly ERA20C_nn, are better suited for assessing coastal flood risks in the region.
WOS关键词EXTREME SEA LEVELS ; HAZARD MAPS ; ATLANTIC
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[42176198] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42176203] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2023YFC3008200] ; Taishan Scholars Program[tsqn202211252]
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001509821100001
出版者SPRINGER
源URL[http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/202343]  
专题海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室
通讯作者Feng, Jianlong; Li, Delei
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Observat & Forecasting, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
3.Laoshan Lab, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China
4.Tianjin Univ Sci & Technol, Key Lab Marine Resource Chem & Food Technol TUST, Tianjin 300457, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Fan, Mengzhen,Dang, Wen,Feng, Jianlong,et al. Comparative Analysis of Storm Surge Reconstructions in the Western North Pacific: Implications for Coastal Flood Risk Assessment[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE,2025,16(3):446-463.
APA Fan, Mengzhen,Dang, Wen,Feng, Jianlong,Li, Delei,&Zhao, Liang.(2025).Comparative Analysis of Storm Surge Reconstructions in the Western North Pacific: Implications for Coastal Flood Risk Assessment.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE,16(3),446-463.
MLA Fan, Mengzhen,et al."Comparative Analysis of Storm Surge Reconstructions in the Western North Pacific: Implications for Coastal Flood Risk Assessment".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE 16.3(2025):446-463.

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来源：海洋研究所

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