中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Atmospheric turbulence parameters characterization and seeing forecasting at the Daocheng site using ERA5 reanalysis data

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Zhou, Qing1; Liu, Yu1; Song TF(宋腾飞)2; Sha, Feiyang1; Liu, Qiang1; Li, Haitang1; Zhang XF(张雪飞)2; Huang WS(黄炜森)2,3; Lu, Liyuan4; Wang, Xinjian1
刊名MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY
出版日期2026-01-11
卷号545期号:2
关键词turbulence atmospheric effects methods: data analysis site testing
ISSN号0035-8711
DOI10.1093/mnras/staf2103
产权排序第2完成单位
文献子类Article
英文摘要

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of atmospheric parameters at the Daocheng site (100 degrees 05' E, 29 degrees 08' N) in China, using the ERA5 reanalysis data spanning 2014-2024. By implementing a physical parametrization scheme, we derive the vertical profiles of temperature, wind speed and optical turbulence strength, characterized by the refractive index structure constant C-n(2)(h). Our analysis reveals exceptional atmospheric stability, characterized by minimal tropopause height variations (range: 17.06-17.81 km; annual amplitude < 0.74 km) and favourable summer conditions, with median 200 hPa wind speeds (V-200) remaining below 20 m s(-1) during June-September. The C-n(2)( h ) profile decreases monotonically from the surface to approximately 11 km, followed by a pronounced peak near 17 km that is strongly correlated with the local thermal structure. The derived optical turbulence parameters demonstrate excellent median seeing conditions (epsilon = 0.72 arcsec), with 25 per cent of values better than 0.48 arcsec, along with key parameters including atmospheric coherence length (r(0) = 14.07 cm), isoplanatic angle (theta(0) = 0.89 arcsec), and wavefront coherence time (tau(0) = 2.21 ms). The atmospheric coherence length consistently exceeds 20 cm during summer months, significantly outperforming spring-winter transitions. Based on this analysis, we develop an integrated forecasting framework combining ARIMA and Holt-Winters methodologies to predict the excellent seeing conditions for 2025. Time series analysis confirms a robust seasonal pattern, quantified by a seasonal intensity coefficient of 0.771. This work provides systematic estimation and forecasting of atmospheric turbulence parameters at the Daocheng site, establishing crucial scientific foundations for atmospheric characterization, adaptive optics system design, and strategic planning of current and future telescope facilities.

学科主题天文学 ; 天体物理学 ; 实测天体物理学
URL标识查看原文
出版地GREAT CLARENDON ST, OXFORD OX2 6DP, ENGLAND
WOS关键词DAYTIME OPTICAL TURBULENCE ; HIGH-ALTITUDE WIND ; SAN-PEDRO-MARTIR ; VERTICAL-DISTRIBUTION ; ADAPTIVE OPTICS ; HIGH-RESOLUTION ; PROFILES ; TIME ; OUKAIMEDEN ; WUMINGSHAN
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[12373063] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11533009] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[12473089] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U2031148] ; Yunnan Fundamental Research Projects[202401AT070140] ; Sichuan Science and Technology Programme[2025ZNSFSC0877]
WOS研究方向Astronomy & Astrophysics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001639427700001
出版者OXFORD UNIV PRESS
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China[12373063, 11533009, 12473089, U2031148] ; Yunnan Fundamental Research Projects[202401AT070140] ; Sichuan Science and Technology Programme[2025ZNSFSC0877]
版本出版稿
源URL[http://ir.ynao.ac.cn/handle/114a53/28799]  
专题无名山观测站
通讯作者Liu, Yu; Song TF(宋腾飞)
作者单位1.School of Physical Science and Technology, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, China;
2.Yunnan Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming 650011, China;
3.School of Physics and Astronomy, Sun Yat-Sen University, Zhuhai 519082, China;
4.Department of Physics and Astronomy, Research Center of Astronomy, Qinghai University, Xining 810016, China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhou, Qing,Liu, Yu,Song TF,et al. Atmospheric turbulence parameters characterization and seeing forecasting at the Daocheng site using ERA5 reanalysis data[J]. MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY,2026,545(2).
APA Zhou, Qing.,Liu, Yu.,Song TF.,Sha, Feiyang.,Liu, Qiang.,...&Zhang, Huan.(2026).Atmospheric turbulence parameters characterization and seeing forecasting at the Daocheng site using ERA5 reanalysis data.MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY,545(2).
MLA Zhou, Qing,et al."Atmospheric turbulence parameters characterization and seeing forecasting at the Daocheng site using ERA5 reanalysis data".MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY 545.2(2026).

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来源:云南天文台

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