中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
East Asian spring precipitation and its dry trend revealed by CMIP6 high-resolution coupled models

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Zi, Peng4; Li, Jiandong3; Yang, Ruowen4; Liu, Yimin3; He, Bian3; Bao, Qing2; Yang, Zihan4; Li, Taohui1,4
刊名CLIMATE DYNAMICS
出版日期2026-03-30
卷号64期号:4页码:172
关键词East Asia spring precipitation high-resolution models CMIP6
ISSN号0930-7575
DOI10.1007/s00382-026-08151-x
产权排序4
文献子类Article
英文摘要The persistent spring precipitation over East Asia, with a notable drying trend in recent decades, poses substantial impacts on the regional hydrological cycle and socio-economy. This study investigates the climatology and long-term trend of East Asian spring precipitation during 1980-2014 simulated from CMIP6 HighResMIP coupled models, focusing on the role of model horizontal resolution. Our results show that high-resolution models outperform their low-resolution counterparts in simulating the spatial pattern and intensity of East Asian spring mean precipitation, owing to improved representations of low-level winds and moisture transport. However, many high-resolution models in HighResMIP fail to reproduce the long-term variation of East Asian spring precipitation and associated remote influencing factors (e.g., tropical Pacific and North Atlantic sea surface temperature) while only two models (FGOALS-f3-H and EC-Earth3P-HR) show improved performance for this unique climate phenomenon. Particularly, the high-resolution FGOALS-f3-H model exhibits the best skill in simulating this regional climatic change, increasing a regional mean drying trend from - 0.10 in its low-resolution version to - 0.33 mm day(- 1) decade(- 1) (observed: - 0.43). This remarkable improvement in FGOALS-f3-H stems from more realistic representations of both the weakening Western North Pacific Anticyclone and strengthening Mongolia High, which are key regional circulation drivers of the East Asian spring drying trend, as well as its improved simulation of the weakening vertical velocity over East Asia. By contrast, five out of all seven high-resolution models show degraded performance in reproducing this precipitation trend, even showing amplified simulation biases in precipitation trend and improper relationships with remote and regional influencing factors relative to their low-resolution counterparts. This study suggests that the simultaneous improvement of horizontal resolution and physical parameterizations governing precipitation-related interannual variability in climate models is critical for simulating East Asian climatic change.
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WOS关键词SOUTHERN CHINA ; SUMMER MONSOON ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; HADLEY CIRCULATION ; MULTIPLE ASPECTS ; PERFORMANCE ; PACIFIC ; DROUGHT ; SEA ; TEMPERATURE
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001729449000001
出版者SPRINGER
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/221499]  
专题陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Li, Jiandong; Yang, Ruowen
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Earth Syst Numer Modeling & Applicat, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China;
4.Yunnan Univ, Yunnan Key Lab Meteorol Disasters & Climate Resour, Kunming 650504, Peoples R China;
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Zi, Peng,Li, Jiandong,Yang, Ruowen,et al. East Asian spring precipitation and its dry trend revealed by CMIP6 high-resolution coupled models[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2026,64(4):172.
APA Zi, Peng.,Li, Jiandong.,Yang, Ruowen.,Liu, Yimin.,He, Bian.,...&Li, Taohui.(2026).East Asian spring precipitation and its dry trend revealed by CMIP6 high-resolution coupled models.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,64(4),172.
MLA Zi, Peng,et al."East Asian spring precipitation and its dry trend revealed by CMIP6 high-resolution coupled models".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 64.4(2026):172.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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