National development pathways shape climate stress at cultural world heritage sites globally
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Cui, Haiyang4; Chen, Zihua4; Wang, Zhenbo3; Wu, Yajing2; Li, Jiaxin3; Gao, Qian1 |
| 刊名 | NPJ HERITAGE SCIENCE
 |
| 出版日期 | 2026-04-16 |
| 卷号 | 14期号:1页码:255 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s40494-026-02529-0 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Climate change increasingly threatens cultural World Heritage sites globally, yet how national development pathways relate to changes in this stress remains unclear. Here we present the Global Heritage Adaptation Portfolio Framework (GHAPF), linking changes in climate-induced stress at 938 cultural World Heritage sites to multidomain national development patterns. Using a two-stage analysis that combines climate material exposure thresholds with interpretable machine learning on World Development Indicators from 1995-2020, we find that the modelled net association is skewed toward lower predicted stress by about one third. Health, social protection, labor participation, and governance are most consistently associated with lower predicted stress. Low- and middle-income countries show broader but smaller average contributions across domains, whereas high-income countries show larger average contributions concentrated in fewer domains. GHAPF is a transferable macro-scale screening framework that can inform national adaptation planning while complementing site-specific preventive conservation, especially where direct heritage investment is limited. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS研究方向 | Arts & Humanities - Other Topics ; Chemistry ; Materials Science ; Spectroscopy |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001742771500003 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/221475]  |
| 专题 | 区域可持续发展分析与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Chen, Zihua |
| 作者单位 | 1.Guizhou Univ, Sch Econ, Guiyang, Peoples R China 2.China Univ Geosci, Natl Engn Res Ctr Geog Informat Syst, Wuhan, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China; 4.Guizhou Minzu Univ, Sch Ethnol & Hist, Guiyang, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cui, Haiyang,Chen, Zihua,Wang, Zhenbo,et al. National development pathways shape climate stress at cultural world heritage sites globally[J]. NPJ HERITAGE SCIENCE,2026,14(1):255. |
| APA | Cui, Haiyang,Chen, Zihua,Wang, Zhenbo,Wu, Yajing,Li, Jiaxin,&Gao, Qian.(2026).National development pathways shape climate stress at cultural world heritage sites globally.NPJ HERITAGE SCIENCE,14(1),255. |
| MLA | Cui, Haiyang,et al."National development pathways shape climate stress at cultural world heritage sites globally".NPJ HERITAGE SCIENCE 14.1(2026):255. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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