中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Impacts of Extreme Climate Events on Subtropical Upland Crops: A 20-Year Case Study in the Hilly Area of Southwest China

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Chen, Lu2,3; Cui, Junfang2,3; Askari, Mohammad Sadegh1; Tang, Jialiang2,3; Wang, Yanqiang3; Gao, Meirong3; Zhang, Xifeng2,3; Zhu, Bo3
刊名AGRONOMY-BASEL
出版日期2026-03-05
卷号16期号:5页码:25
关键词extreme climate purple soil sloping farmland crop production generalized additive model analysis time lag response future trend
ISSN号2073-4395
DOI10.3390/agronomy16050572
英文摘要

Understanding how climate extremes affect crop growth in humid-subtropical hilly regions is essential for climate-smart agriculture, yet phenology-resolved evidence remains limited. We combined 20 ETCCDI extreme climate indices (1960-2024) with field records of wheat and maize production (2005-2024) from the hilly area of southwest China, and quantified climate-crop linkages using Mantel tests and generalized additive models; persistence and prospective tendencies were evaluated using Hurst (H) and Mann-Kendall statistics. Warming extremes intensified, with significant increases in TXx (0.22 degrees C decade-1), SU25 (2.48 days decade-1), and DTR (0.47 degrees C decade-1), while TNx and TNn declined and frost days increased; most precipitation intensity indices showed no significant trends except CDD, which increased by 1.73 days decade-1. Seasonally, warm extremes and CDD strengthened during the maize season, whereas climatic conditions during the wheat season were comparatively more favorable. Climate impacts on crop growth were stage-dependent, typically lagging by 1-2 months: wheat biomass was positively associated with TXx/TNx (strongest near heading), whereas maize production was more sensitive to temperature extremes (negative) and precipitation frequency indices; CDD significantly affected both crops. These findings suggest that compound heat-drought risks for maize could increase under the persistence and trend signals observed in the historical record, while modest warming may benefit wheat but cold extremes could remain a constraint for management.

WOS关键词VEGETATION ; TEMPERATURE ; RESPONSES ; PLATEAU ; ISOTOPE ; INDEXES ; REGION
资助项目National Key RD Plan[2023YFF0806002] ; Natural Science Foundation of China[42371039] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences President's International Fellowship Initiative[2026PVB0095]
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Plant Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001713275500001
出版者MDPI
资助机构National Key RD Plan ; Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences President's International Fellowship Initiative
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/59585]  
专题成都山地灾害与环境研究所_山地表生过程与生态调控重点实验室
通讯作者Cui, Junfang; Tang, Jialiang
作者单位1.Univ Zanjan, Dept Soil Sci, Zanjan 45371, Iran
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610299, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Chen, Lu,Cui, Junfang,Askari, Mohammad Sadegh,et al. Impacts of Extreme Climate Events on Subtropical Upland Crops: A 20-Year Case Study in the Hilly Area of Southwest China[J]. AGRONOMY-BASEL,2026,16(5):25.
APA Chen, Lu.,Cui, Junfang.,Askari, Mohammad Sadegh.,Tang, Jialiang.,Wang, Yanqiang.,...&Zhu, Bo.(2026).Impacts of Extreme Climate Events on Subtropical Upland Crops: A 20-Year Case Study in the Hilly Area of Southwest China.AGRONOMY-BASEL,16(5),25.
MLA Chen, Lu,et al."Impacts of Extreme Climate Events on Subtropical Upland Crops: A 20-Year Case Study in the Hilly Area of Southwest China".AGRONOMY-BASEL 16.5(2026):25.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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