中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Estimation of Electric Power Consumption at 10 m for Punjab, Pakistan, Using Ensemble Machine Learning Model and Spatiotemporal Fused SDGSAT-1-Like Nighttime Light Data

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Khan, Touseef Ahmad4,5; Bian, Jinhu3,5; Li, Ainong3,5; Lei, Guangbin4,5; Zhang, Zhengjian4,5; Nan, Xi4,5; Khan, Muhib Ullah4,5; Khan, Umer Sadiq1,2; Li, Siyuan4,5; Naboureh, Amin4,5
刊名IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING
出版日期2026
卷号64页码:17
关键词Spatial resolution Estimation Satellite broadcasting Accuracy Data models Monitoring Remote sensing Radiometry Socioeconomics Energy consumption Electric power consumption (EPC) ensemble machine learning nighttime light (NTL) spatiotemporal modeling Sustainable Development Goals Satellite-1 (SDGSAT-1)
ISSN号0196-2892
DOI10.1109/TGRS.2026.3663881
英文摘要

Quantifying electric power consumption (EPC) at high spatial and temporal resolution (HSTR) is critical for evidence-based energy planning, especially in regions lacking detailed ground statistics. Nighttime light (NTL) data are consistent proxies for EPC; however, the relatively coarse spatial resolution of conventional NTL products derived from the Operational Linescan System (OLS) on board the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites, as well as the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) payload on board the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (SNPP) and Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) satellites, limits the accurate monitoring and analysis at sub-100-m scales. This study presents an ensemble machine learning framework for EPC estimation using fused NTL data generated through the Nighttime Light Spatiotemporal Fusion (NTLSTF) model, integrating VIIRS Black Marble monthly product (VNP46A3) with Sustainable Development Goals Satellite-1 (SDGSAT-1) panchromatic imagery to produce 10-m monthly and annual NTL composites. An ensemble machine learning model for EPC estimation was developed by leveraging three machine learning models, random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN), and simple linear regression (SLR), to enhance accuracy, capture nonlinear relationships, and mitigate overfitting across diverse spatial contexts. Punjab Province, a pivotal region along the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, served as the case study. The 10-m highresolution NTL data substantially improved EPC estimation by reducing errors, preserving pixel-level variability, and aligning closely with observed values. The ensemble model achieved exceptional predictive accuracy [R-2 = 0.898, root-mean-square error (RMSE) = 1.132 GWh], representing a 35.6% improvement over the best individual model. Taylor diagram analysis further confirmed reliable preservation of spatial variance (SD ratio = 2.87) and correlation (0.889). The model's ability to resolve neighborhood-level dynamics was further validated through cityscale analysis in Lahore. These findings show that integrating fine-resolution NTL data with ensemble learning advances EPC estimation, offering a replicable framework for grid optimization, demand forecasting, and energy equity assessments in data-scarce regions.

WOS关键词SURFACE REFLECTANCE ; ELECTRIFICATION ; EMISSIONS ; DYNAMICS ; IMAGES
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation project of China[W2412146] ; National Natural Science Foundation project of China[42571453] ; National Natural Science Foundation project of China[42171382] ; National Natural Science Foundation project of China[U23A2019] ; National Natural Science Foundation project of China[W2433109] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2020YFA0608702] ; Science and Technology Research Program of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences[IMHECXTD-03]
WOS研究方向Geochemistry & Geophysics ; Engineering ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001702909400019
出版者IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation project of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Science and Technology Research Program of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/59558]  
专题成都山地灾害与环境研究所_数字山地与遥感应用中心
通讯作者Bian, Jinhu; Li, Ainong
作者单位1.Hubei Engn Univ, Inst AI Ind Technol Res, Xiaogan 432000, Peoples R China
2.Hubei Engn Univ, Sch Comp & Informat Sci, Xiaogan 432000, Peoples R China
3.Wanglang Mt Remote Sensing Observat & Res Stn Sich, Mianyang 621000, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610213, Sichuan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Khan, Touseef Ahmad,Bian, Jinhu,Li, Ainong,et al. Estimation of Electric Power Consumption at 10 m for Punjab, Pakistan, Using Ensemble Machine Learning Model and Spatiotemporal Fused SDGSAT-1-Like Nighttime Light Data[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING,2026,64:17.
APA Khan, Touseef Ahmad.,Bian, Jinhu.,Li, Ainong.,Lei, Guangbin.,Zhang, Zhengjian.,...&Naboureh, Amin.(2026).Estimation of Electric Power Consumption at 10 m for Punjab, Pakistan, Using Ensemble Machine Learning Model and Spatiotemporal Fused SDGSAT-1-Like Nighttime Light Data.IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING,64,17.
MLA Khan, Touseef Ahmad,et al."Estimation of Electric Power Consumption at 10 m for Punjab, Pakistan, Using Ensemble Machine Learning Model and Spatiotemporal Fused SDGSAT-1-Like Nighttime Light Data".IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING 64(2026):17.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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