Projected Future Changes of Ningaloo Nino under Global Warming
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wu, Yue5,6,7; Feng, Ming4; Zheng, Xiao-tong1,2,3; Hu, Shijian3,5,6,7 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
 |
| 出版日期 | 2026-04-01 |
| 卷号 | 39期号:7页码:1577-1589 |
| 关键词 | Indian Ocean Atmosphere-ocean interaction Climate Climate variability Trends |
| ISSN号 | 0894-8755 |
| DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0553.1 |
| 通讯作者 | Hu, Shijian(sjhu@hhu.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Ningaloo Ni & ntilde;o is an important climate mode in the southeast Indian Ocean with far-reaching impacts on the climate and marine environment, but how Ningaloo Ni & ntilde;o will change under global warming remains unclear. This study investigates the response of Ningaloo Ni & ntilde;o to global warming using the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble projections and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 model simulations. We find that the Ningaloo Ni & ntilde;o will have a stronger magnitude in the second half of the twenty-first century under the high greenhouse gas emission scenario, with nearly 60% of models showing a 1-month delay in its broadened seasonal peak. A mixed layer heat budget analysis indicates that the meridional advective feedback is the dominant driver for the Ningaloo Ni & ntilde;o changes, with additional contributions from changes in latent heat flux forcing. The strengthening of the Leeuwin Current during the Ningaloo Ni & ntilde;o events and the decrease in latent heat loss are closely associated with enhanced coastal Bjerknes feedback, with possible contributions from the wind-evaporation-SST feedback. Furthermore, given the amplification of El Ni & ntilde;o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the increase of specific humidity saturation under global warming, ENSO-related remote influences on the enhancement of Ningaloo Ni & ntilde;o activity need further investigation. |
| WOS关键词 | INDIAN-OCEAN ; EL-NINO ; VARIABILITY ; SEA ; GENERATION ; MECHANISMS ; EXCHANGE ; IMPACTS ; MODEL |
| 资助项目 | Indo-Pacific Ocean and Climate Laboratory Project from Hohai University[424530] ; Shandong Postdoctoral Innovation Project[SDCX-ZG-202400166] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42476016] ; Laoshan Laboratory[LSKJ202202702] |
| WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001711514800001 |
| 出版者 | AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC |
| 源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/204988]  |
| 专题 | 海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室 |
| 通讯作者 | Hu, Shijian |
| 作者单位 | 1.Ocean Univ China, Phys Oceanog Lab, Qingdao, Peoples R China 2.Ocean Univ China, Frontier Sci Ctr Deep Ocean Multispheres & Earth S, Qingdao, Peoples R China 3.Qingdao Marine Sci & Technol Ctr, Lab Ocean Dynam & Climate, Qingdao, Peoples R China 4.CSIRO Environm, Crawley, WA, Australia 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao, Peoples R China 6.Hohai Univ, Coll Oceanog, Nanjing, Peoples R China 7.Hohai Univ, Minist Nat Resources, Key Lab Marine Hazards Forecasting, Nanjing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wu, Yue,Feng, Ming,Zheng, Xiao-tong,et al. Projected Future Changes of Ningaloo Nino under Global Warming[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2026,39(7):1577-1589. |
| APA | Wu, Yue,Feng, Ming,Zheng, Xiao-tong,&Hu, Shijian.(2026).Projected Future Changes of Ningaloo Nino under Global Warming.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,39(7),1577-1589. |
| MLA | Wu, Yue,et al."Projected Future Changes of Ningaloo Nino under Global Warming".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 39.7(2026):1577-1589. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：海洋研究所
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