中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Annual risk assessment on high-frequency debris-flow fans

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Hu, Kaiheng1,2; Li, Yong1,2; Wei, Fangqiang1,2
刊名NATURAL HAZARDS
出版日期2009-06-01
卷号49期号:3页码:469-477
ISSN号0921-030X
关键词Debris flow Alluvial fan Risk assessment Annual loss ratio Gamma function Probability model
通讯作者Kaiheng Hu
合作状况国内
英文摘要An empirical model of debris-flow risk assessment is developed to estimate annual loss ratio on high-frequency debris-flow fans where more than one hazard events occur every year. Based on observations of debris flows in Jiangjia Ravine, Yunnan Province, China, it is found that Gamma distribution is more appropriate for describing the annual frequency than the exponential distribution, which is supposed to be a good description of the low-frequency cases. Further analyses reveal that the two parameters of Gamma distribution can be explained, respectively, as the number of factors which dominate debris-flow occurrence and one-third of the mean annual frequency. Given the expectation of loss ratio is unchanged for each event we deduced a simple relationship between the expectations of one-event and annual loss ratios. Combined with the Gamma model, an equation is proposed to calculate the expectation of the annual loss ratio, which can be also used to assess the potential risk of fans formed by high-frequency debris flows.
WOS标题词Science & Technology ; Physical Sciences
类目[WOS]Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
研究领域[WOS]Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
关键词[WOS]OREGON COAST RANGE ; USA ; DEPOSITION ; HAZARD ; TAIWAN ; MODEL ; WOOD
收录类别SCI
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000265826000004
公开日期2010-10-12
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/2137]  
专题成都山地灾害与环境研究所_成都山地所知识仓储(2009年以前)
成都山地灾害与环境研究所_山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Mt Hazards & Earth Surface Proc, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Hu, Kaiheng,Li, Yong,Wei, Fangqiang. Annual risk assessment on high-frequency debris-flow fans[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS,2009,49(3):469-477.
APA Hu, Kaiheng,Li, Yong,&Wei, Fangqiang.(2009).Annual risk assessment on high-frequency debris-flow fans.NATURAL HAZARDS,49(3),469-477.
MLA Hu, Kaiheng,et al."Annual risk assessment on high-frequency debris-flow fans".NATURAL HAZARDS 49.3(2009):469-477.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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