On the basis of analysing basic features of Shiliushubao landslide, the landslide's deformation and development tendency are quantitatively studied by using FLAC3D program. The results accord with monitoring results. The results are indicated that reservoir impounding accelerates the landslide's deformation, and the variation of reservoir water level is key factor of affecting the deformation; The landslide has the characters of pull-behind movement according to the displacement of the landslide body gradually reducing from leading edge to trailing edge; Excavating and deloading slow down the landslide's deformation in the certain degree. On the basis, the deformation developmental tendency of Shiliushubao landslide is predicted by the established simulating model.