中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
SPATIAL-TEMPORAL DYNAMICS OF REGIONAL CONVERGENCE AT COUNTY LEVEL IN JIANGSU

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Pu Ying-xia; Ma Rong-hua; Ge Ying; Huang Xing-yuan
刊名CHINESE GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCE
出版日期2005
卷号15期号:2页码:113-119
关键词regional convergence spatial-temporal dynamics spatial Markov chain Jiangsu Province
ISSN号1002-0063
英文摘要The dynamics of regional convergence include spatial and temporal dimensions. Spatial Markov chain can be used to explore how regions evolve by considering both individual regions and their geographic neighbors. Based on per capita GDP data set of 77 counties from 1978 to 2000, this paper attempts to investigate the spatial-temporal dynamics of regional convergence in Jiangsu. First, traditional Markov matrix for five per capita GDP classes is constructed for later comparison. Moreover, each region's spatial lag is derived by averaging all its neighbors' per capita GDP data. Conditioning on per capita GDP class of its spatial lag at the beginning of each year, spatial Markov transition probabilities of each region are calculated accordingly. Quantitatively, for a poor region, the probability of moving upward is 3.3% if it is surrounded by its poor neighbors, and even increases to 18.4% if it is surrounded by its rich neighbors, but it goes down to 6.2% on average if ignoring regional context. For a rich region, the probability of moving down ward is 1.2% if it is surrounded by its rich neighbors, but increases to 3.0% if it is surrounded by its poor neighbors, and averages 1.5% irrespective of regional context. Spatial analysis of regional GDP class transitions indicates those 10 upward moves of both regions and their neighbors are unexceptionally located in the southern Jiangsu, while downward moves of regions or their neighbors are almost in the northern Jiangsu. These empirical results provide a spatial explanation to the "convergence clubs" detected by traditional Markov chain.
公开日期2012-03-07
源URL[http://159.226.73.51/handle/332005/2803]  
专题南京地理与湖泊研究所_遥感室
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Pu Ying-xia,Ma Rong-hua,Ge Ying,et al. SPATIAL-TEMPORAL DYNAMICS OF REGIONAL CONVERGENCE AT COUNTY LEVEL IN JIANGSU[J]. CHINESE GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCE,2005,15(2):113-119.
APA Pu Ying-xia,Ma Rong-hua,Ge Ying,&Huang Xing-yuan.(2005).SPATIAL-TEMPORAL DYNAMICS OF REGIONAL CONVERGENCE AT COUNTY LEVEL IN JIANGSU.CHINESE GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCE,15(2),113-119.
MLA Pu Ying-xia,et al."SPATIAL-TEMPORAL DYNAMICS OF REGIONAL CONVERGENCE AT COUNTY LEVEL IN JIANGSU".CHINESE GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCE 15.2(2005):113-119.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:南京地理与湖泊研究所

浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。