A successful real-time forecast of the 2010–11 La Nina event
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang Ronghua
|
| 刊名 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2013-01-23 |
| 期号 | 3页码:1108 |
| 关键词 | INTERMEDIATE COUPLED MODEL TROPICAL PACIFIC-OCEAN EL-NINO SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ENTRAINMENT TEMPERATURE ENSO PREDICTION PREDICTABILITY CLIMATE SYSTEM |
| 中文摘要 | During 2010-11, a La Nina condition prevailed in the tropical Pacific. An intermediate coupled model (ICM) is used to demonstrate a real-time forecast of sea surface temperature (SST) evolution during the event. One of the ICM's unique features is an empirical parameterization of the temperature of subsurface water entrained into the mixed layer (T-e). This model provided a good prediction, particularly of the "double dip" evolution of SST in 2011 that followed the La Nina event peak in October 2010. Thermocline feedback, explicitly represented by the relationship between Te and sea level in the ICM, is a crucial factor affecting the second cooling in 2011. Large negative Te anomalies were observed to persist in the central equatorial domain during 2010-11, inducing a cold SST anomaly to the east during July-August 2011 and leading to the development of a La Nina condition thereafter. |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 公开日期 | 2014-08-28 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/18190]  |
| 专题 | 海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang Ronghua. A successful real-time forecast of the 2010–11 La Nina event[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2013(3):1108. |
| APA | Zhang Ronghua.(2013).A successful real-time forecast of the 2010–11 La Nina event.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS(3),1108. |
| MLA | Zhang Ronghua."A successful real-time forecast of the 2010–11 La Nina event".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS .3(2013):1108. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：海洋研究所
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