Summer precipitation changes over the Yangtze River Valley and North China: Simulations from CMIP3 models
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Zeng G. ; Wang W. C. ; Shen C. M. ; Hao Z. X. |
| 发表日期 | 2014 |
| 关键词 | Precipitation Yangtze River Valley North China climatic assessment CMIP3 coupled climate models global warming experiments east-asian monsoon rainy-season ipcc ar4 part i variability circulation association scenarios |
| 英文摘要 | We present a study of summer precipitation changes over the Yangtze River Valley (YRV) and North China (NC) simulated from 20 models of the CMIP3 (phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project). It is found that the LASG-FGOALS-g1.0 (fgoals) model has the highest ability in simulating both the interannual variability of individual regions and the seesaw pattern of the two regions observed during the past few decades. Analyses of atmospheric circulations indicate that the variability in precipitation is closely associated with the 850 hPa meridional winds over the two regions. Wetness in the YRV and dryness in NC are corresponding to strong meridional wind gradient and weak meridional wind over these two regions, respectively. The ability of a coupled general circulation model (CGCM) to simulate precipitation changes in the YRV and NC depends on how well the model reproduces both observed associations of precipitation with overlying meridional winds and observed meridional wind features in summer. Analysis of future precipitation changes over the two regions projected by the fgoals model under the IPCC scenarios B1 and A1B suggests a significant increase of 7-15% for NC after 2040s due to the strengthened meridional winds, and a slight increase over the YRV due to less significant intensification of the Mei-yu front. |
| 出处 | Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences |
| 卷 | 50 |
| 期 | 3 |
| 页 | 355-364 |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 1976-7633 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/29431]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zeng G.,Wang W. C.,Shen C. M.,et al. Summer precipitation changes over the Yangtze River Valley and North China: Simulations from CMIP3 models. 2014. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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