中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Quantifying the effects of climate change and human activities on runoff in the water source area of Beijing, China

文献类型:SCI/SSCI论文

作者Xia J.
发表日期2014
关键词climate change human activities runoff Yongding River basin China river-basin interannual variability pan evaporation united-states land-use vegetation streamflow trend catchment precipitation
英文摘要Quantitative assessment of the effects of climate change and human activities on runoff is very important for regional sustainable water resources adaptive management. In this study, the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test is used to identify the trends in and change points of the annual runoff with the aim of analysing the changing characteristics of the hydrological cycle. The study presents the analytical derivation of a method which combines six Budyko hypothesis-based water-energy balance equations with the Penman-Monteith equation to separate the effects of climate change and human activities. The method takes several climate variables into consideration. Results based on data from the Yongding River basin, China, show that climate change is estimated to account for 10.5-12.6% of the reduction in annual runoff and human activities contribute to 87.4-89.5% of the runoff decline. The results indicate that human activities are the main driving factors for the reduction in runoff.
出处Hydrological Sciences Journal-Journal Des Sciences Hydrologiques
59
10
1794-1807
收录类别SCI
语种英语
ISSN号0262-6667
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/29505]  
专题地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Xia J.. Quantifying the effects of climate change and human activities on runoff in the water source area of Beijing, China. 2014.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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