中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China

文献类型:SCI/SSCI论文

作者Xia J.
发表日期2014
关键词regional frequency analysis L-moments method extreme dry spell Yellow River Basin wet spells drought distributions series
英文摘要In this research, the regional extreme-dry-spell frequency in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is studied by the L-moments method. The research area has been divided into three subregions (regions 1, 2 and 3), which have been identified as homogenous regions. The results of a goodness-of-fit test indicate that a generalized normal distribution is the optimal regional model for regions 1 and 2 whereas a generalized Pareto distribution is the optimal regional model for region 3. The return period analysis figures out that the maximum length-of-dry-spell (MxDS) values increase from south to north in the southern part and increase from northeast to southwest in the northern part of the middle reaches of the YRB under different return periods. The increments of quantiles of dry spell under different return levels indicate that drought risk in region 1 is higher than that in regions 2 and 3. The analysis of the occurrence day of MxDS shows that MxDS mostly occurred during winter of 1998 and spring of 1999 in most stations during the considered period. By comparing summer MxDS events, it can be found that mean MxDS values have slightly increased in regions 1 and 2 during the last five decades. The maximum mean MxDS values appeared in the 2000s for regions 1 and 2 and in the 1990s for region 3. The atmospheric circulation shows that the positive anomaly centre in the west of North China, negative anomaly centre in the east of North China and the strong western Pacific subtropical high led to the decrease of precipitation in North China during the summer of 1997. Copyright (C) 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
出处Hydrological Processes
28
17
4694-4707
收录类别SCI
语种英语
ISSN号0885-6087
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/29628]  
专题地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Xia J.. Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China. 2014.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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