Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China
文献类型:SCI/SSCI论文
作者 | Xia J. |
发表日期 | 2014 |
关键词 | regional frequency analysis L-moments method extreme dry spell Yellow River Basin wet spells drought distributions series |
英文摘要 | In this research, the regional extreme-dry-spell frequency in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is studied by the L-moments method. The research area has been divided into three subregions (regions 1, 2 and 3), which have been identified as homogenous regions. The results of a goodness-of-fit test indicate that a generalized normal distribution is the optimal regional model for regions 1 and 2 whereas a generalized Pareto distribution is the optimal regional model for region 3. The return period analysis figures out that the maximum length-of-dry-spell (MxDS) values increase from south to north in the southern part and increase from northeast to southwest in the northern part of the middle reaches of the YRB under different return periods. The increments of quantiles of dry spell under different return levels indicate that drought risk in region 1 is higher than that in regions 2 and 3. The analysis of the occurrence day of MxDS shows that MxDS mostly occurred during winter of 1998 and spring of 1999 in most stations during the considered period. By comparing summer MxDS events, it can be found that mean MxDS values have slightly increased in regions 1 and 2 during the last five decades. The maximum mean MxDS values appeared in the 2000s for regions 1 and 2 and in the 1990s for region 3. The atmospheric circulation shows that the positive anomaly centre in the west of North China, negative anomaly centre in the east of North China and the strong western Pacific subtropical high led to the decrease of precipitation in North China during the summer of 1997. Copyright (C) 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
出处 | Hydrological Processes |
卷 | 28 |
期 | 17 |
页 | 4694-4707 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
ISSN号 | 0885-6087 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/29628] |
专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xia J.. Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China. 2014. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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