中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Biofuels and the poor: Global impact pathways of biofuels on agricultural markets

文献类型:SCI/SSCI论文

作者Yang J.
发表日期2012
关键词Biofuels Global markets Developing countries Prices food security equilibrium policy trade prospects will
英文摘要This study seeks to assess the future impacts of biofuel production on regional agricultural and related sectors over the next decade with a specific focus on the vulnerable regions of developing nations. Using a modification of the GTAP modeling platform to account for the global interactions of regional biofuel and food markets, the analysis shows that biofuel production levels depend on the assumption about the future price of energy and the nature of the substitutability between biofuels and petroleum-based transport fuels. Low energy prices reduce the demand for biofuels and thus require greater government support to meet the desired production targets. At the other extreme, when prices are high and there is scope for substituting biofuels for petroleum-based fuels, the volume of biofuels produced will exceed the mandates. Even when biofuels are being mainly produced in developed countries, our results indicate that there are impact pathways that extend far beyond the borders of the US, Brazil and the EU. Prices of feedstock and non-feedstock commodities rise in developing countries. There is also a rise in value added from the agricultural sector a gain that is enjoyed by the owners of land and labor, including unskilled. Hence, to the extent that agriculture is a key sector in getting growth started and addressing poverty needs, the emergence of biofuels can (in this way at least) be a positive force. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
出处Food Policy
37
4
439-451
收录类别SCI
语种英语
ISSN号0306-9192
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/30847]  
专题地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yang J.. Biofuels and the poor: Global impact pathways of biofuels on agricultural markets. 2012.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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