中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Xie, Ying ; Li, Xuyong ; Yang, Chunsheng ; Yu, Yang
刊名Water Science and Technology-Water Supply
出版日期2014
卷号14期号:6页码:1057-1066
ISSN号1606-9749
关键词Luanhe river basin sustaining utilization system dynamics model water resource carrying capacity
中文摘要Water shortage is a major problem in northern China, because of a huge population and rapid economic growth. Taking the Luanhe River Basin (LRB) as a study area, we set up a System Dynamics (SD) model of the basin for the period 2005-2010, and considered various important socioeconomic and environmental factors and their correlation. Significant trends for the period 2011-2030 were simulated and the water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) of the LRB and its trends over the next 30 years were analyzed. The results indicate a decreasing trend of WRCC in the basin and that current economic growth is not sustainable. The study investigated possible optimized allocation projects. The most apt project would involve a combination of strategies that could considerably increase the WRCC, reduce demand, and improve water quality.
WOS记录号WOS:000348791100014
公开日期2015-03-23
源URL[http://ir.rcees.ac.cn/handle/311016/9110]  
专题生态环境研究中心_城市与区域生态国家重点实验室
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Xie, Ying,Li, Xuyong,Yang, Chunsheng,et al. Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China[J]. Water Science and Technology-Water Supply,2014,14(6):1057-1066.
APA Xie, Ying,Li, Xuyong,Yang, Chunsheng,&Yu, Yang.(2014).Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China.Water Science and Technology-Water Supply,14(6),1057-1066.
MLA Xie, Ying,et al."Assessing water resources carrying capacity based on integrated system dynamics modeling in a semiarid river basin of northern China".Water Science and Technology-Water Supply 14.6(2014):1057-1066.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:生态环境研究中心

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