A Multivariate Regression Model for Predicting Precipitation in the Daqing Mountains
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Sun Ranhao ; Zhang Balping ; Tan Jing |
| 刊名 | MOUNTAIN RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2008-08-11 |
| 卷号 | 28期号:2015-03-04页码:318-325 |
| 关键词 | Precipitation multivariate regression modeling prediction GIS Daqing Mountains China |
| 英文摘要 | Multivariate regression analysis, combined with residuals correction, was carried out to develop a precipitation prediction model for the Daqing Mountains of Inner Mongolia in northern China. Precipitation data collected at 56 stations between 1955 and 1990 were used: data from 48 stations for model development and data from 8 stations for additional tests. Five topographic factors-altitude, slope, aspect, longitude, and latitude-were taken into account for model development. These topographic variables were acquired from a 100-m resolution digital elevation model (DEM) of the study region, and the mean values of the sub-basin in which a precipitation station is located were used as the values of the respective variables of that station. The multivariate regression model can explain 72.6% of the spatial variability of precipitation over the whole year and 74.4% of variability in the wet season (June-September). Precipitation in the dry season (October-May) is hard to model owing to little rainfall (21.78% of annual rainfall) and a different synoptic system. Interpolation-based residuals correction did not significantly improve the accuracy of our model, which shows that our model is quite effective. The model, as presented in this paper, could potentially be applied to other mountains and in mountain climate research. |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000262029500021 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.rcees.ac.cn/handle/311016/21816]  |
| 专题 | 生态环境研究中心_城市与区域生态国家重点实验室 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun Ranhao,Zhang Balping,Tan Jing. A Multivariate Regression Model for Predicting Precipitation in the Daqing Mountains[J]. MOUNTAIN RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT,2008,28(2015-03-04):318-325. |
| APA | Sun Ranhao,Zhang Balping,&Tan Jing.(2008).A Multivariate Regression Model for Predicting Precipitation in the Daqing Mountains.MOUNTAIN RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT,28(2015-03-04),318-325. |
| MLA | Sun Ranhao,et al."A Multivariate Regression Model for Predicting Precipitation in the Daqing Mountains".MOUNTAIN RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT 28.2015-03-04(2008):318-325. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：生态环境研究中心
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。