Forecasting China's natural gas consumption based on a combination model
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Xu, Gang1; Wang, Weiguo2 |
| 刊名 | journal of natural gas chemistry
 |
| 出版日期 | 2010-09-01 |
| 卷号 | 19期号:5页码:493-496 |
| 关键词 | natural gas consumption forecasting combination model |
| 英文摘要 | ensuring a sufficient energy supply is essential to a country natural gas constitutes a vital part in energy supply and therefore forecasting natural gas consumption reliably and accurately is an essential part of a country's energy policy over the years studies have shown that a combinative model gives better projected results compared to a single model in this study, we used polynomial curve and moving average combination projection (pcmacp) model to estimate the future natural gas consumption in china from 2009 to 2015 the new proposed pcmacp model shows more reliable and accurate results its mean absolute percentage error (mape) is less than those of any previous models within the investigated range according to the pcmacp model, the average annual growth rate will increase for the next 7 years and the amount of natural gas consumption will reach 171600 million cubic meters in 2015 in china |
| WOS标题词 | science & technology ; physical sciences ; technology |
| 类目[WOS] | chemistry, applied ; chemistry, physical ; energy & fuels ; engineering, chemical |
| 研究领域[WOS] | chemistry ; energy & fuels ; engineering |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000284031600009 |
| 公开日期 | 2015-11-17 |
| 源URL | [http://159.226.238.44/handle/321008/142119]  |
| 专题 | 大连化学物理研究所_中国科学院大连化学物理研究所 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Dalian Inst Chem Phys, Dalian 116023, Liaoning, Peoples R China 2.Dongbei Univ Finance & Econ, Coll Quantitat Econ, Dalian 116025, Liaoning, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu, Gang,Wang, Weiguo. Forecasting China's natural gas consumption based on a combination model[J]. journal of natural gas chemistry,2010,19(5):493-496. |
| APA | Xu, Gang,&Wang, Weiguo.(2010).Forecasting China's natural gas consumption based on a combination model.journal of natural gas chemistry,19(5),493-496. |
| MLA | Xu, Gang,et al."Forecasting China's natural gas consumption based on a combination model".journal of natural gas chemistry 19.5(2010):493-496. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：大连化学物理研究所
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