Investigation of the probability of concurrent drought events between the water source and destination regions of China's water diversion project
文献类型:SCI/SSCI论文
作者 | Liu X. M.; Luo, Y. Z.; Yang, T. T.; Liang, K.; Zhang, M. H.; Liu, C. M. |
发表日期 | 2015 |
关键词 | concurrent drought events water diversion project climate-change precipitation risk california depletion impact river |
英文摘要 | In this study, we investigate the concurrent drought probability between the water source and destination regions of the central route of China's South to North Water Diversion Project. We find that both regions have been drying from 1960 to 2013. The estimated return period of concurrent drought events in both regions is 11years. However, since 1997, these regions have experienced 5years of simultaneous drought. The projection results of global climate models show that the probability of concurrent drought events is highly likely to increase during 2020 to 2050. The increasing concurrent drought events will challenge the success of the water diversion project, which is a strategic attempt to resolve the water crisis of North China Plain. The data suggest great urgency in preparing adaptive measures to ensure the long-term sustainable operation of the water diversion project. |
出处 | Geophysical Research Letters |
卷 | 42 |
期 | 20 |
页 | 8424-8431 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
ISSN号 | 0094-8276 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/38753] |
专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu X. M.,Luo, Y. Z.,Yang, T. T.,et al. Investigation of the probability of concurrent drought events between the water source and destination regions of China's water diversion project. 2015. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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