Effects of Climate Change and Human Activities on Surface Runoff in the Luan River Basin
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Zeng S. D.; Zhan, C. S.; Sun, F. B.; Du, H.; Wang, F. Y. |
| 发表日期 | 2015 |
| 关键词 | variability china evapotranspiration vegetation streamflow soil sensitivity catchment impact model |
| 英文摘要 | Quantifying the effects of climate change and human activities on runoff changes is the focus of climate change and hydrological research. This paper presents an integrated method employing the Budyko-based Fu model, hydrological modeling, and climate elasticity approaches to separate the effects of the two driving factors on surface runoff in the Luan River basin, China. The Budyko-based Fu model and the double mass curve method are used to analyze runoff changes during the period 1958 similar to 2009. Then two types of hydrological models (the distributed Soil and Water Assessment Tool model and the lumped SIMHYD model) and seven climate elasticity methods (including a nonparametric method and six Budyko-based methods) are applied to estimate the contributions of climate change and human activities to runoff change. The results show that all quantification methods are effective, and the results obtained by the nine methods are generally consistent. During the study period, the effects of climate change on runoff change accounted for 28.3 similar to 46.8% while those of human activities contributed with 53.2 similar to 71.7%, indicating that both factors have significant effects on the runoff decline in the basin, and that the effects of human activities are relatively stronger than those of climate change. |
| 出处 | Advances in Meteorology |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 1687-9309 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/39022]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zeng S. D.,Zhan, C. S.,Sun, F. B.,et al. Effects of Climate Change and Human Activities on Surface Runoff in the Luan River Basin. 2015. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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