中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
The Relationship between Urbanization, Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in China: An Econometric Perspective Analysis

文献类型:SCI/SSCI论文

作者Zhao Y. B.; Wang, S. J.
发表日期2015
关键词urbanization economic growth energy consumption cointegration test impulse response analysis Granger causality test panel-data analysis carbon-dioxide emission co2 emissions unit-root electricity consumption causality tests time-series countries provinces india
英文摘要As the largest developing country in the world, with rapid economic growth, China has witnessed fast-paced urbanization development over the past three decades. In fact, urbanization has been shown to promote economic growth and improve the livelihood of people, but it can also increase energy consumption and further generate energy crisis. Therefore, a better understanding of the relationship between urbanization, economic growth and energy consumption is important for China's future sustainable development. This paper empirically investigates the long-term equilibrium relationships, temporal dynamic relationships and causal relationships between urbanization, economic growth and energy consumption in China. Econometric models are utilized taking the period 1980-2012 into consideration. Cointegration tests indicate that the variables are found to be of I(1) and cointegrated. Further, vector error-correction model (VECM) indicates that when the short-term fluctuations deviate from the long-term equilibrium, the current changes of energy consumption could eliminate 9.74% non-equilibrium error of the last period, putting back the situation to the equilibrium state through a reverse adjustment. Impulse response analysis intuitively portrays the destabilized changes of the variables in response to some external shocks. However, the impact of energy consumption shock on urbanization and the impact of urbanization on economic growth seem to be rather marginal. Moreover, Granger causality results reveal that there is a bi-directional Granger causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from urbanization to energy consumption and economic growth to urbanization. The findings have important implications for Chinese policymakers that on the path towards a sustainable society, the effects of urbanization and economic growth on energy consumption must be taken into consideration.
出处Sustainability
7
5
5609-5627
收录类别SCI
语种英语
ISSN号2071-1050
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/39076]  
专题地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhao Y. B.,Wang, S. J.. The Relationship between Urbanization, Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in China: An Econometric Perspective Analysis. 2015.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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