Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Li, Fangzheng1,2; Sun, Yinan1,2; Li, Xiong1,2; Hao, Xinhua3; Li, Wanyi1,2; Qian, Yun1,2; Liu, Haimeng4; Sun, Haiyan1 |
| 刊名 | SUSTAINABILITY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2016-10-01 |
| 卷号 | 8期号:10页码:17 |
| 关键词 | Beijing forecast policy formulation scenario simulation sustainable development of green space system dynamics model |
| ISSN号 | 2071-1050 |
| DOI | 10.3390/su8100965 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Xiong() |
| 英文摘要 | Greater contradiction and conflict among urban green space, the development of social economy and the environment have occurred in Beijing. However, few studies have been conducted that consider the three subsystems as a whole. In this study, we defined sustainable development of green space (SDGS) as the coordinated development of the urban green system, social economy, and environment. Based on the datasets from 2000 to 2015, we forecast the SDGS in Beijing under multiple scenarios based on real-world policies using a system dynamics model. We found that the historical SDGS value increased to its highest level in 2012, but declined slightly by 2015. Second, the forecasted SDGS values declined over time in all scenarios, but the decline was greater in scenarios placing a high priority on economic development. In these scenarios, the performance of the indices only improved in certain subsystems. The simulation shows the implementation of the four policies proposed by the government failed to improve the overall level of SDGS in Beijing. This study could provide support for decision-making designed to improve the overall condition of urban green space in Beijing through integrated forecast and scenario simulation. |
| WOS关键词 | ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS ; URBAN AIR-QUALITY ; LAND-USE CHANGE ; CHINA ; LANDSCAPE ; SECURITY ; WATER ; AREA ; INFRASTRUCTURE ; SIMULATION |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[51308044] ; Beijing Laboratory of Urban and Rural Ecological Environment - Special Found for the Beijing Common Construction Project |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000389314600005 |
| 出版者 | MDPI AG |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Beijing Laboratory of Urban and Rural Ecological Environment - Special Found for the Beijing Common Construction Project |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/65252]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Xiong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Beijing Forestry Univ, Sch Landscape Architecture, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Lab Urban & Rural Ecol Environm, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 3.Beijing Tsinghua Tongheng Urban Planning & Design, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Fangzheng,Sun, Yinan,Li, Xiong,et al. Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2016,8(10):17. |
| APA | Li, Fangzheng.,Sun, Yinan.,Li, Xiong.,Hao, Xinhua.,Li, Wanyi.,...&Sun, Haiyan.(2016).Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model.SUSTAINABILITY,8(10),17. |
| MLA | Li, Fangzheng,et al."Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model".SUSTAINABILITY 8.10(2016):17. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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