中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION IN EASTERN CHINA UNDER A1B SCENARIO

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Lilt, XD (Liu Xiao-dong)[ 1,2 ]; Li, XZ (Li Xin-zhou)[ 1 ]
刊名JOURNAL OF TROPICAL METEOROLOGY
出版日期2014-06-15
卷号20期号:2页码:121-134
关键词Global Warming Climate Prediction East China Extreme Precipitation Numerical Simulation
文献子类期刊论文
英文摘要

The regional climate model (RegCM3), developed by the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics and nested in one-way mode within the latest version of Community Climate System Model from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, is used to conduct a set of experiments to examine its capability of climate simulation for the past 50 years and to explore possible changes in extreme precipitation (EP) in the next 100 years under the A1B scenario. Compared with the observation from the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia and CPC Merged Analysis of Precipitation, RegCM3 reasonably reproduces the spatiotemporal distributions of precipitation and EP in eastern China. Based on the present-day analysis, this study examines the changes in monsoonal precipitation over eastern China in mid- and late-21st century relative to the reference period of 1970-1999. It is found that the precipitation will increase over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and areas to its north, and decrease over coastal areas to its south, especially in late-21st century. The various indices reflecting extreme events showed that the EP will enhance 10%-15% over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and areas to its north, and weaken over the areas to its south. The summer monsoon will strengthen and shift northwards under SERS AlB, bringing more water vapor and energy from the Indian Ocean and South China Sea for precipitation and eventually more precipitation over northern China.

语种英语
源URL[http://ir.ieecas.cn/handle/361006/9747]  
专题地球环境研究所_古环境研究室
通讯作者Li, XZ (Li Xin-zhou)[ 1 ]
作者单位1.State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, ChineseAcademy of Sciences, Xi’an 710075 China;
2.Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049 China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lilt, XD ,Li, XZ . NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION IN EASTERN CHINA UNDER A1B SCENARIO[J]. JOURNAL OF TROPICAL METEOROLOGY,2014,20(2):121-134.
APA Lilt, XD ,&Li, XZ .(2014).NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION IN EASTERN CHINA UNDER A1B SCENARIO.JOURNAL OF TROPICAL METEOROLOGY,20(2),121-134.
MLA Lilt, XD ,et al."NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION IN EASTERN CHINA UNDER A1B SCENARIO".JOURNAL OF TROPICAL METEOROLOGY 20.2(2014):121-134.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地球环境研究所

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