Achieving consensus in multilateral international negotiations: The case study of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Bernardo, Carmela1; Wang, Lingfei2; Vasca, Francesco1; Hong, Yiguang2; Shi, Guodong3; Altafini, Claudio4 |
| 刊名 | SCIENCE ADVANCES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-12-01 |
| 卷号 | 7期号:51页码:16 |
| ISSN号 | 2375-2548 |
| DOI | 10.1126/sciadv.abg8068 |
| 英文摘要 | The purpose of this paper is to propose a dynamical model describing the achievement of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change. To represent the complex, decade-long, multiparty negotiation process that led to the accord, we use a two time scale dynamical model. The short time scale corresponds to the discussion process occurring at each meeting and is represented as a Friedkin-Johnsen model, a dynamical multiparty model in which the parties show stubbornness, i.e., tend to defend their positions during the discussion. The long time scale behavior is determined by concatenating multiple Friedkin-Johnsen models (one for each meeting). The proposed model, tuned on real data extracted from the Paris Agreement meetings, achieves consensus on a time horizon similar to that of the real negotiations. Remarkably, the model is also able to identify a series of parties that exerted a key leadership role in the Paris Agreement negotiation process. |
| 资助项目 | Swedish Research Council[2020-03701] ; Swedish ELLIIT program at Linkoping University ; Australian Research Council[DP190103615] |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000730600400002 |
| 出版者 | AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE |
| 源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/59712]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 |
| 通讯作者 | Altafini, Claudio |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Sannio, Dept Engn, Grp Res Automat Control Engn, I-82100 Benevento, Italy 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Key Lab Syst & Control, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 3.Univ Sydney, Australian Ctr Field Robot, Sch Aerosp Mech & Mechatron Engn, Sydney, NSW 2008, Australia 4.Linkoping Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Div Automat Control, SE-58183 Linkoping, Sweden |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bernardo, Carmela,Wang, Lingfei,Vasca, Francesco,et al. Achieving consensus in multilateral international negotiations: The case study of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change[J]. SCIENCE ADVANCES,2021,7(51):16. |
| APA | Bernardo, Carmela,Wang, Lingfei,Vasca, Francesco,Hong, Yiguang,Shi, Guodong,&Altafini, Claudio.(2021).Achieving consensus in multilateral international negotiations: The case study of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change.SCIENCE ADVANCES,7(51),16. |
| MLA | Bernardo, Carmela,et al."Achieving consensus in multilateral international negotiations: The case study of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change".SCIENCE ADVANCES 7.51(2021):16. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：数学与系统科学研究院
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