Realized Volatility and Absolute Return Volatility: A Comparison Indicating Market Risk
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Zheng ZY(郑泽宇)![]() ![]() |
刊名 | PLOS ONE
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出版日期 | 2014 |
卷号 | 9期号:7页码:1-10 |
ISSN号 | 1932-6203 |
产权排序 | 1 |
英文摘要 | Measuring volatility in financial markets is a primary challenge in the theory and practice of risk management and is essential when developing investment strategies. Although the vast literature on the topic describes many different models, two nonparametric measurements have emerged and received wide use over the past decade: realized volatility and absolute return volatility. The former is strongly favored in the financial sector and the latter by econophysicists. We examine the memory and clustering features of these two methods and find that both enable strong predictions. We compare the two in detail and find that although realized volatility has a better short-term effect that allows predictions of near-future market behavior, absolute return volatility is easier to calculate and, as a risk indicator, has approximately the same sensitivity as realized volatility. Our detailed empirical analysis yields valuable guidelines for both researchers and market participants because it provides a significantly clearer comparison of the strengths and weaknesses of the two methods. |
WOS关键词 | TESTABLE DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPLICATIONS ; EXCHANGE-RATES ; MODELS ; VARIANCE ; NOISE |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000339614100069 |
资助机构 | National University of Singapore [R-144-000-313-133] ; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Grant [25330047] ; Defense Threat Reduction Agency [HDTRA-1-10-1-0014, HDTRA-1-09-1-0035] ; National Science Foundation [CMMI 1125290] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences [Y4FA030A01] |
公开日期 | 2014-11-03 |
源URL | [http://ir.sia.cn/handle/173321/15194] ![]() |
专题 | 沈阳自动化研究所_数字工厂研究室 |
通讯作者 | Zheng ZY(郑泽宇) |
作者单位 | 1.Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America 2.Hiroshima University of Economics, Hiroshima, Japan 3.NUS Graduate School for Integrative Sciences and Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore 4.Department of Physics and Centre for Computational Science and Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore 5.Shenyang Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, P.R. China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zheng ZY,Qiao, Zhi,Takaishi, Tetsuya,et al. Realized Volatility and Absolute Return Volatility: A Comparison Indicating Market Risk[J]. PLOS ONE,2014,9(7):1-10. |
APA | Zheng ZY,Qiao, Zhi,Takaishi, Tetsuya,Stanley, H. Eugene,&Li, Baowen.(2014).Realized Volatility and Absolute Return Volatility: A Comparison Indicating Market Risk.PLOS ONE,9(7),1-10. |
MLA | Zheng ZY,et al."Realized Volatility and Absolute Return Volatility: A Comparison Indicating Market Risk".PLOS ONE 9.7(2014):1-10. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:沈阳自动化研究所
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