中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Realized Volatility and Absolute Return Volatility: A Comparison Indicating Market Risk

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Zheng ZY(郑泽宇); Qiao, Zhi; Takaishi, Tetsuya; Stanley, H. Eugene; Li, Baowen
刊名PLOS ONE
出版日期2014
卷号9期号:7页码:1-10
ISSN号1932-6203
产权排序1
英文摘要

Measuring volatility in financial markets is a primary challenge in the theory and practice of risk management and is essential when developing investment strategies. Although the vast literature on the topic describes many different models, two nonparametric measurements have emerged and received wide use over the past decade: realized volatility and absolute return volatility. The former is strongly favored in the financial sector and the latter by econophysicists. We examine the memory and clustering features of these two methods and find that both enable strong predictions. We compare the two in detail and find that although realized volatility has a better short-term effect that allows predictions of near-future market behavior, absolute return volatility is easier to calculate and, as a risk indicator, has approximately the same sensitivity as realized volatility. Our detailed empirical analysis yields valuable guidelines for both researchers and market participants because it provides a significantly clearer comparison of the strengths and weaknesses of the two methods.

WOS关键词TESTABLE DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPLICATIONS ; EXCHANGE-RATES ; MODELS ; VARIANCE ; NOISE
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000339614100069
资助机构National University of Singapore [R-144-000-313-133] ; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Grant [25330047] ; Defense Threat Reduction Agency [HDTRA-1-10-1-0014, HDTRA-1-09-1-0035] ; National Science Foundation [CMMI 1125290] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences [Y4FA030A01]
公开日期2014-11-03
源URL[http://ir.sia.cn/handle/173321/15194]  
专题沈阳自动化研究所_数字工厂研究室
通讯作者Zheng ZY(郑泽宇)
作者单位1.Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America
2.Hiroshima University of Economics, Hiroshima, Japan
3.NUS Graduate School for Integrative Sciences and Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore
4.Department of Physics and Centre for Computational Science and Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore
5.Shenyang Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, P.R. China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zheng ZY,Qiao, Zhi,Takaishi, Tetsuya,et al. Realized Volatility and Absolute Return Volatility: A Comparison Indicating Market Risk[J]. PLOS ONE,2014,9(7):1-10.
APA Zheng ZY,Qiao, Zhi,Takaishi, Tetsuya,Stanley, H. Eugene,&Li, Baowen.(2014).Realized Volatility and Absolute Return Volatility: A Comparison Indicating Market Risk.PLOS ONE,9(7),1-10.
MLA Zheng ZY,et al."Realized Volatility and Absolute Return Volatility: A Comparison Indicating Market Risk".PLOS ONE 9.7(2014):1-10.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:沈阳自动化研究所

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