中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Statistical regularities of Carbon emission trading market: Evidence from European Union allowances

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Zheng ZY(郑泽宇); Xiao R(肖睿); Shi HB(史海波); Li GH(李贵红); Zhou XF(周晓锋)
刊名Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
出版日期2015
卷号426页码:9-15
关键词European Union Allowances Volatility Detrended Fluctuation Analysis Cross Correlations Long-range Correlation
ISSN号0378-4371
产权排序1
英文摘要

As an emerging financial market, the trading value of carbon emission trading market has definitely increased. In recent years, the carbon emission allowances have already become a way of investment. They are bought and sold not only by carbon emitters but also by investors. In this paper, we analyzed the price fluctuations of the European Union allowances (EUA) futures in European Climate Exchange (ECX) market from 2007 to 2011. The symmetric and power-law probability density function of return time series was displayed. We found that there are only short-range correlations in price changes (return), while long-range correlations in the absolute of price changes (volatility). Further, detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) approach was applied with focus on long-range autocorrelations and Hurst exponent. We observed long-range power-law autocorrelations in the volatility that quantify risk, and found that they decay much more slowly than the autocorrelation of return time series. Our analysis also showed that the significant cross correlations exist between return time series of EUA and many other returns. These cross correlations exist in a wide range of fields, including stock markets, energy concerned commodities futures, and financial futures. The significant cross-correlations between energy concerned futures and EUA indicate the physical relationship between carbon emission and energy production process. Additionally, the cross-correlations between financial futures and EUA indicate that the speculation behavior may become an important factor that can affect the price of EUA. Finally we modeled the long-range volatility time series of EUA with a particular version of the GARCH process, and the result also suggests long-range volatility autocorrelations. © 2015 Elsevier B.V.

WOS关键词DETRENDED FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS ; CROSS-CORRELATIONS ; PRICES
WOS研究方向Physics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000351963600002
公开日期2015-03-17
源URL[http://ir.sia.cn/handle/173321/15730]  
专题沈阳自动化研究所_数字工厂研究室
通讯作者Zheng ZY(郑泽宇)
作者单位1.Shenyang Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, China
2.Key Laboratory of Network Control System, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, China
3.Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, United States
4.Liaoning Province Information Center, Shenyang, China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zheng ZY,Xiao R,Shi HB,et al. Statistical regularities of Carbon emission trading market: Evidence from European Union allowances[J]. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,2015,426:9-15.
APA Zheng ZY,Xiao R,Shi HB,Li GH,&Zhou XF.(2015).Statistical regularities of Carbon emission trading market: Evidence from European Union allowances.Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,426,9-15.
MLA Zheng ZY,et al."Statistical regularities of Carbon emission trading market: Evidence from European Union allowances".Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 426(2015):9-15.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:沈阳自动化研究所

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