Statistical regularities of Carbon emission trading market: Evidence from European Union allowances
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Zheng ZY(郑泽宇)![]() ![]() ![]() |
刊名 | Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
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出版日期 | 2015 |
卷号 | 426页码:9-15 |
关键词 | European Union Allowances Volatility Detrended Fluctuation Analysis Cross Correlations Long-range Correlation |
ISSN号 | 0378-4371 |
产权排序 | 1 |
英文摘要 | As an emerging financial market, the trading value of carbon emission trading market has definitely increased. In recent years, the carbon emission allowances have already become a way of investment. They are bought and sold not only by carbon emitters but also by investors. In this paper, we analyzed the price fluctuations of the European Union allowances (EUA) futures in European Climate Exchange (ECX) market from 2007 to 2011. The symmetric and power-law probability density function of return time series was displayed. We found that there are only short-range correlations in price changes (return), while long-range correlations in the absolute of price changes (volatility). Further, detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) approach was applied with focus on long-range autocorrelations and Hurst exponent. We observed long-range power-law autocorrelations in the volatility that quantify risk, and found that they decay much more slowly than the autocorrelation of return time series. Our analysis also showed that the significant cross correlations exist between return time series of EUA and many other returns. These cross correlations exist in a wide range of fields, including stock markets, energy concerned commodities futures, and financial futures. The significant cross-correlations between energy concerned futures and EUA indicate the physical relationship between carbon emission and energy production process. Additionally, the cross-correlations between financial futures and EUA indicate that the speculation behavior may become an important factor that can affect the price of EUA. Finally we modeled the long-range volatility time series of EUA with a particular version of the GARCH process, and the result also suggests long-range volatility autocorrelations. © 2015 Elsevier B.V. |
WOS关键词 | DETRENDED FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS ; CROSS-CORRELATIONS ; PRICES |
WOS研究方向 | Physics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000351963600002 |
公开日期 | 2015-03-17 |
源URL | [http://ir.sia.cn/handle/173321/15730] ![]() |
专题 | 沈阳自动化研究所_数字工厂研究室 |
通讯作者 | Zheng ZY(郑泽宇) |
作者单位 | 1.Shenyang Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, China 2.Key Laboratory of Network Control System, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, China 3.Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, United States 4.Liaoning Province Information Center, Shenyang, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zheng ZY,Xiao R,Shi HB,et al. Statistical regularities of Carbon emission trading market: Evidence from European Union allowances[J]. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,2015,426:9-15. |
APA | Zheng ZY,Xiao R,Shi HB,Li GH,&Zhou XF.(2015).Statistical regularities of Carbon emission trading market: Evidence from European Union allowances.Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,426,9-15. |
MLA | Zheng ZY,et al."Statistical regularities of Carbon emission trading market: Evidence from European Union allowances".Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 426(2015):9-15. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:沈阳自动化研究所
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