New dynamics between volume and volatility
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Zheng ZY(郑泽宇)2,3,7![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
刊名 | Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
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出版日期 | 2019 |
卷号 | 525页码:1343-1350 |
关键词 | Dynamics Volume Volatility Local maximum volatility Scaling |
ISSN号 | 0378-4371 |
产权排序 | 1 |
英文摘要 | Understanding, quantifying and predicting market fluctuation has become increasingly important in recent decades. Volatility and volume are the two commonly used quantities to study the market dynamics and the relationship between these two has been modeled and debated for years with several hypothesis been put forward. Using empirical data, we investigate the causality and correlation between volume and volatility and find new ways in which they interact, particularly when the levels of both are high. We find that the volume-conditional volatility distribution scales with volume as a power-law function with an exponential cutoff. We exploit the characteristics of a volume-volatility scatterplot and find a strong correlation between logarithmic volume and a quantity we define as local maximum volatility (LMV), the highest volatility observed in a given range of volume. This supports our empirical analysis, showing that volume is an effective parameter for prediction of the maximum value of volatility for both same-day and near-future time periods. The joint conditional probability of volume and volatility also indicates if we invoke both quantities, the prediction of the largest next-day volatility will be better than invoking either one alone. This approach is thus a greatly improved method of risk assessment. |
WOS关键词 | TRADING VOLUME ; STOCK ; PRICES ; MEMORY ; MODEL |
资助项目 | NSF[PHY-1505000] ; DTRA[HDTRA1-14-1-0017] ; Program for National Natural Science Foundation[71671182] |
WOS研究方向 | Physics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000474503900119 |
源URL | [http://ir.sia.cn/handle/173321/24590] ![]() |
专题 | 沈阳自动化研究所_数字工厂研究室 |
通讯作者 | Gui J(桂珺) |
作者单位 | 1.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China 2.Key Laboratory of Network Control System, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China 3.Shenyang Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China 4.Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, United States 5.Center for Polymer Studies, Boston University, MA 02215, United States 6.NUS Graduate School for Integrative Sciences and Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117456, Singapore 7.Institutes for Robotics and Intelligent Manufacturing, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China 8.Department of Physics and Centre for Computational Science and Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117542, Singapore 9.School of Information Science and Engineering, Shenyang University of Technology, Shenyang 110870, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zheng ZY,Gui J,Qiao, Zhi,et al. New dynamics between volume and volatility[J]. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,2019,525:1343-1350. |
APA | Zheng ZY,Gui J,Qiao, Zhi,Fu Y,Stanley, H.Eugene,&Li, Baowen.(2019).New dynamics between volume and volatility.Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,525,1343-1350. |
MLA | Zheng ZY,et al."New dynamics between volume and volatility".Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 525(2019):1343-1350. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:沈阳自动化研究所
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