Can the Artificial Release of Fluorinated Gases Offset Global Cooling Due to Supervolcanic Eruptions?
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Xu, Yangyang2; Ribar, Nathanael P.3; Sachnik, Jeffrey2; Schade, Gunnar W.2; Lockley, Andrew John4; Zhang, Yi Ge4; Yu, Pengfei5; Hu, Jianxin6; Velders, Guus J. M.1,7 |
刊名 | ATMOSPHERE
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出版日期 | 2024-11-01 |
卷号 | 15期号:11页码:20 |
关键词 | geoengineering counter-geoengineering simple climate model supervolcanic eruptions fluorinated gases |
DOI | 10.3390/atmos15111322 |
英文摘要 | Large volcanic eruptions, such as the prehistoric Yellowstone eruption, induce abrupt global cooling-by some estimates at a rate of similar to 1 degrees C/year, lasting for more than a decade. An abrupt global cooling of several degrees C-even if only lasting a few years-would present immediate, drastic stress on biodiversity and food production. This cooling poses a global catastrophic risk to human society beyond the immediate and direct impact of eruptions. Using a simple climate model, this paper discusses the possibility of counteracting large volcanic cooling with the intentional release of greenhouse gases. Longer-lived compounds (e.g., CO2 and CH4) are unsuitable for this purpose, but selected fluorinated gases (F-gases), either individually or in combinations, could be released at gigaton scale to offset large volcanic cooling substantially. We identify candidate F-gases (e.g., C4F6 and CH3F) and derive radiative and chemical properties of 'ideal' compounds matching specific cooling events. Geophysical constraints on manufacturing and stockpiling due to mineral availability are considered, alongside technical and economic implications based on present-day market assumptions. The effects and uncertainty due to atmospheric chemistry related to aerosol injection, F-gases release, and solar dimming are discussed in the context of large volcanic perturbation. The caveats and future steps using more complex chemistry-climate models are discussed. Despite the speculative nature of the magnitude and composition of F-gases, our conceptual analysis has implications for testing the possibility of mitigating certain global catastrophic cooling risks (e.g., nuclear winter, asteroid impact, and glacier transition) via intentional intervention. |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001364604400001 |
源URL | [http://ir.gig.ac.cn/handle/344008/81986] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院广州地球化学研究所 |
通讯作者 | Xu, Yangyang |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Utrecht, Inst Marine & Atmospher Res Utrecht IMAU, Princetonpl 5, NL-3584 CC Utrecht, Netherlands 2.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, College Stn, TX 77843 USA 3.Univ Wyoming, Dept Atmospher Sci, Laramie, WY 82071 USA 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Guangzhou Inst Geochem, Guangzhou 510640, Peoples R China 5.Jinan Univ, Inst Environm & Climate Res, Guangzhou 511496, Peoples R China 6.Peking Univ, Dept Environm Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China 7.Natl Inst Publ Hlth & Environm RIVM, Antonie van Leeuwenhoeklaan 9, NL-3721 MA Bilthoven, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu, Yangyang,Ribar, Nathanael P.,Sachnik, Jeffrey,et al. Can the Artificial Release of Fluorinated Gases Offset Global Cooling Due to Supervolcanic Eruptions?[J]. ATMOSPHERE,2024,15(11):20. |
APA | Xu, Yangyang.,Ribar, Nathanael P..,Sachnik, Jeffrey.,Schade, Gunnar W..,Lockley, Andrew John.,...&Velders, Guus J. M..(2024).Can the Artificial Release of Fluorinated Gases Offset Global Cooling Due to Supervolcanic Eruptions?.ATMOSPHERE,15(11),20. |
MLA | Xu, Yangyang,et al."Can the Artificial Release of Fluorinated Gases Offset Global Cooling Due to Supervolcanic Eruptions?".ATMOSPHERE 15.11(2024):20. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:广州地球化学研究所
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